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[NL2-NL10] KK, what to do on R after calls on F and T?

    • Gugi19
      Joined: 08.01.2010 Posts: 325
      Full Tilt - $0.10 NL RUSH (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BTN: $14.85
      SB: $26.30
      BB: $6.81
      Hero (UTG): $9.70
      MP: $8.94
      CO: $6.05

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has K:diamond: K:club:

      Hero raises to $0.35, fold, fold, BTN calls $0.35, fold, fold

      Flop: ($0.85, 2 players) 7:club: 2:spade: 4:club:
      Hero bets $0.65, BTN calls $0.65

      Turn: ($2.15, 2 players) 2:heart:
      Hero bets $1.65, BTN calls $1.65

      River: ($5.45, 2 players) 7:heart:
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      Villain is 13/9/67

      My plan was to check/call for bluff induce if he is on busted draw or if he decides to bet pairs like 88+, is that ok or I should value bet river against random pairs.

      But now when I take a look at his stats again, I don't think that I could be ahead on the river if he bets, is that wright? I also don't think that he would call another bet considering my stats, 17/10/45, is this wright? Am I to tight for this level?
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Looking at it from the begining, I think villain is tight enough that most of his range preflop for calling you will consist of pocket pairs well as good broadways. So since I don't put him on many hands that can actually have 7x or a draw on that flop (not to mention he might raise a flushdraw because he'll have big cards with it), I think his range on the rivered is weighted toward 88-JJ more than busted draws and boats.

      And since I don't expect anybody at nl10 to think real hard about folding 88-JJ on the river when the draws missed, I think this is still a valuebet by default. I wouldn't go higher than $3-$3.5 tho, just to make sure we don't make those hands fold, because if we do, then we're just throwing away money.

      Hope it helps.