[NL2-NL10] calling with middle pair at the river

    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      CO:
      $25.98
      BU (Hero):
      $10.40
      SB:
      $4.00
      BB:
      $15.72
      UTG1:
      $10.00
      UTG2:
      $10.00
      MP1:
      $9.10
      MP2:
      $10.37
      MP3:
      $11.28


      Preflop: Hero is BU with T, A.
      6 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, SB folds, BB calls $0.20.

      Flop: ($0.65) 2, Q, 7 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.40, BB raises to $0.80, Hero calls $0.40.

      Turn: ($2.25) T (2 players)
      BB bets $1.10, Hero calls $1.10.

      River: ($4.45) 7 (2 players)
      BB bets $2.90, Hero calls $2.90.

      Final Pot: $10.25.



      opponent is known to be aggressive( inf) with 50 hands with 17/10. i thought that the re-raise could signal a Q or 2pair or set but also flush draws. the bet on the turn does not say much since he would bet with his entire range. at the river, i thought that his range would consist of mostly busted draws with an occasional Q
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,


      A 17/10 isn't really aggressive, regardless of his AF. You have to remember that the less hands he plays, the better average hand he'll show up with postflop, the more he can be aggressive with it, which is one reason why it's very easy to misinterpret the AF stat. Another reason would be that it doesn't take checking into account at all, so somebody who always check/folds postflop unless he has the nuts could still have an infinite AF.

      So provided your read is good that he can and will be bluff-raising there, your line is fine, it's BBvsBU and people can mess around some. Against a random 17/10, I'd say he generally won't be bluffing there enough for us to start calling with AT-high, especially because you won't see these players take that line with top pairs.


      Hope it helps.