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[NL20-NL50] NL25 KTo - squeeze vs backraise

    • mrkaktus
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 69
      BTN is 50/50 over 7 hands - no relevant sample but asi his VPIP and PFR has same value I suppose him to be on tagish side with wider opening range OTB
      SB is 29/19 over 43 hands no 3bet 4bet stats

      Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 812245
      The Official Hand History Converter

      UTG: $25.35
      MP: $35.31
      CO: $25.00
      BTN: $25.00
      SB: $25.10
      Hero (BB): $54.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with T:spade: K:heart:
      3 folds, BTN raises to $1, SB calls $0.90, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, SB raises to $11, Hero raises to $54.10 all in, SB calls $14.10 all in

      this is imo ideal situation (regarding player types and my hand) to squeeze. my image at the table is not aggro at all. I have kinda nitty stats sth around 19/15. it was my first squeeze over almost 100 hands and opponents have no reason to consider me 3bet/squeeze happy. im quite confused about the SB backraising range. I think we can definitely exclude Ak, AA, KK, QQ as I dont expect him to trap with them based on my image and SB tanked for quite while until he 4bet. I put him on some medium Ax, maybe some SC and some random trash which he decided to be creative with. I shoved as I want him to fold part of his equity share and if he decides to call my Khi is not in so bad shape - considering my assumption that AA, AK, KK, QQ he has almost never.

      What range would you put SB on?
      Is shove ok here?


      Flop: ($51.20) 7:spade: 6:diamond: Q:heart: (2 players - 2 are all in)

      Turn: ($51.20) J:diamond: (2 players - 2 are all in)

      River: ($51.20) 6:spade: (2 players - 2 are all in)

      Final Pot: $51.20
      SB shows 9:heart: 9:spade: (two pair, Nines and Sixes)
      Hero mucks T:spade: K:heart:
      SB wins $49.20
      (Rake: $2.00)
  • 3 replies
    • AninIII
      Joined: 13.07.2008 Posts: 944

      if SB is decent player, you can't exclude QQ+, AK at all. Because good players are balanced! I did it AND seen it with QQ, AK and KK, too.
      But most of the time, you will see hands like 88, 99, TT, JJ, AQs.
      So fold should actually be ok. You tried to squeeze with marginal hand and when coldcaller pushes/4-bets just fold everything, but your valuerange.

      Best regards,
    • mrkaktus
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 69
      thx for advice :)
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      KT is littlebit light to get all-in for 50bb even if you think he can have there mostly pp-s
      he can also just call with TT/JJ, AT, KQ oop and you´re at quite bad shape against that range