[NL2-NL10] T8s, flush on paired board on turn

    • Gugi19
      Joined: 08.01.2010 Posts: 325
      Full Tilt - $0.10 NL RUSH (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      SB: $4.27
      BB: $6.13
      UTG: $15.65
      MP: $12.15
      CO: $9.94
      Hero (BTN): $10.00

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has 8:heart: T:heart:

      fold, fold, CO raises to $0.25, Hero calls $0.25, fold, fold

      Flop: ($0.65, 2 players) 2:heart: 5:heart: 9:diamond:
      CO bets $0.40, Hero raises to $1.20, CO calls $0.80

      Turn: ($3.05, 2 players) 9:heart:
      CO checks, Hero bets $1.85, CO raises to $8.49 and is all-in, Hero calls $6.64

      River: ($20.03, 2 players) 6:heart:

      Villain is 24/18/4.00

      Is turn call bad? Am I behind to many times here against his range, or he can shove here often enough with 9x, 9 and FD, over pair and FD..., and even if he can, do I have enough equity considering he still has outs?
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Hard to say, his stats are somewhat useless since they're so common and the sample looks small. It'll either be hugely -ev if he never jams 9x there, or clearly +ev if he can indeed shove 9x regardless of the flush getting there. When in doubt and with so much money in the pot, I think calling it off the first time around can't be considered a mistake with no reads.

      Hope it helps.