[NL2-NL10] NL 10 AQs, OESD+Flushdraw going broke

    • Pichux
      Pichux
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2009 Posts: 318
      ***** Hand History for Game 2364008084 ***** (IPoker)
      $10.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Friday, July 23, 06:19:08 ET 2010
      Table Spatterdash (Real Money)
      Seat 8 is the button
      Seat 1: Incrediblezz ( $8.00 USD )
      Seat 3: spud2000 ( $17.69 USD ) (47/16/2.1)
      Seat 5: Piters1990 ( $10.15 USD )
      Seat 6: Igor765 ( $10.95 USD )
      Seat 8: cynikal ( $10.10 USD )
      Seat 10: FaiLoSc2 ( $9.90 USD )
      FaiLoSc2 posts small blind [$0.05 USD].
      Incrediblezz posts big blind [$0.10 USD].
      ** Dealing down cards **
      Dealt to Piters1990 [ Q :diamond: A :diamond: ]
      spud2000 calls [$0.10 USD]
      Piters1990 raises [$0.45 USD]
      Igor765 folds
      cynikal folds
      FaiLoSc2 folds
      Incrediblezz folds
      spud2000 calls [$0.35 USD]
      ** Dealing Flop ** [ J :spade: , 7 :diamond: , T :diamond: ]
      spud2000 checks
      Piters1990 bets [$0.80 USD]
      spud2000 raises [$1.72 USD]
      Piters1990 raises [$8.90 USD]
      spud2000 calls [$7.98 USD]

      Is going broke here ok? The villain had 2pair on the flop. I checked at Pokerstove, i am ahead about 70%. But against 2pair it showed a flip with me as 5% dog. Knowing this, is it still ok to go broke?
  • 2 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      You have gutshot + NUT flush + 2 overs so I think you are ok going broke here.
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,


      You answered your own question really, if you're ahead 70% of the time you're losing money by folding, regardless of just against how many hands you're flipping/behind. Easy shove unless villain is very tight, in which case you can take all one pair hands and most bluffs out of his range and you're actually behind often enough to justify calling in position and waiting to hit a strong hand before committing the rest of your stack.


      Hope it helps.