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[NL20-NL50] NL50SH Turn+overpair

    • fazamaka
      fazamaka
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.02.2007 Posts: 68
      No specific reads on op.
      How to play river here.
      Is check/fold possible?

      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      5 Players

      Stacks:
      UTG ($56.17) 22.4 / 13.3 / 2.5 (98)
      CO ($50.75) 26.7 / 20.0 / 0.3 (30)
      BTN ($49.25) 20.2 / 15.6 / 2.9 (9208)
      Hero (SB) ($51) 20.0 / 17.1 / 5.0 (33618)
      BB ($50) 15.7 / 13.7 / 2.0 (153)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 5 players) Hero is SB Q:club: Q:diamond:
      1 fold, CO raises to $1.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $6, 1 fold, CO calls $4.50

      Flop: 5:heart: 2:diamond: 10:club: ($12.50, 2 players)
      Hero bets $7, CO calls $7

      Turn: 5:diamond: ($26.50, 2 players)
      Hero bets $15, CO calls $15

      River: 10:diamond: ($56.50, 2 players)
  • 2 replies
    • i5bet72o
      i5bet72o
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.06.2010 Posts: 1,615
      You have only $23 behind which means that u r never (IMO) folding an overpair b/c u only need 22% equity to call a river shove given the pot odds. Now u need to decide whther to bet yourself or to c/c. I personally think a bet is much better b/c he will often check behind hands with showdown value. I would just shove river and hope to see a smaller p/p or maybe even ace high. You could only c/f, if u think he only bets stronger hands and would require a strong read.
      Note: I am not 100% certain about this hand. This is just my impression of the hand.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      He doesn´t always have there Tx so you can consider shoving to get called by worse pp-s
      Not sure if he is ever shoving there worse hands. Sometimes you see A high, but likely that would take just showdown and hope for split
      So if your image is not great and/or he likes to go on showdowns I think shove is fine. you can consider c/f, but I think you get too good odds, so better is to c/c