[NL20-NL50] NL 50 SH, 33, Rivered set, wet/drawy.

    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      SB (Hero):
      $50.00
      BB:
      $58.45
      MP2:
      $56.00
      MP3:
      $85.00
      CO:
      $65.00
      BU:
      $64.55


      Preflop: Hero is SB with 3, 3.
      MP2 raises to $1.75, 3 folds, Hero calls $1.50, BB folds.

      Flop: ($4) 8, 5, T (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP2 checks.

      Turn: ($4) 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.50, MP2 calls $2.50.

      River: ($9) 3 (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.00, MP2 raises to $17.50, Hero calls $12.50.


      Villains stats:
      Hands: 87
      VPIP/PFR: 33/22
      AF: 1.0



      I had a hope, that he could play 2 pair this way, but he definitely has some straight or flushes in his range. (He would probably bet flop w/ Tsxs, I think.)

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Hero: 45.621 % 45.621 % 0.000 % 54.379 % 3d3c
      Player 2: 54.379 % 54.379 % 0.000 % 45.621 % AsTs, As8s, As7s, As6s, As4s, As2s, KsTs, Ks8s, Ks7s, Ks6s, QsTs, Qs8s, Qs7s, JsTs, T8s+, 98s, 76s, T8o+, 98o, 76o


      So, after equations, I think that b/c is better than b/shove or b/f.
  • 2 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      b/c is standard there. he often has there backdoor flush when he makes that big raise. Sometimes it is bluff and sometimes slowplayed two pair, although I think he would mostly raise two pair on the turn.
      Set just seems too strong to b/f there.
    • N0pr3s3n7
      N0pr3s3n7
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 14.05.2009 Posts: 1,274
      He is cbetting all his hands on this flop unless they are pretty weak such as QJ or maybe just overcards which don't want to bet that wet board which hits your calling range pretty hard.Since he just call the turn he is never having a made hand there.All made hands like 2pairs/set/straight will raise this in my eyes even if he intented to slowplay on the flop.He can't give you anymore free cards as all clubs/spades/6's/7's/J's/Q's are potentionaly going to make his hand worth nothing.The raise on the river is either a flush or a bluff.If you think he can be bluffing that card representing a flushdraw you can call otherwise a fold is bestalso if you don't like folding you can call.