[NL2-NL10] AJo NL5 Rush blinds battle

    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      BB (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BB with J, A
      7 folds, SB raises to $0.15, Hero calls $0.10.

      Flop: ($0.3) 9, Q, A (2 players)
      SB bets $0.15, Hero calls $0.15.

      Turn: ($0.6) 5 (2 players)
      SB bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40.

      River: ($1.4) 2 (2 players)
      SB bets $1.00, Hero calls $1.00.

      Final Pot: $3.4.

      How often does he triple barrel something worse than AK here (the worst hand that beats me on that board). Can I fold on the river? Should I raise somewhere in the hand? Fold earlier?
  • 2 replies
    • Duudalinja
      Joined: 21.12.2009 Posts: 1,030
      I may 3bet pre against opp who steals a lot, at least on non rush game. :)
      But as it's rush - calling should be fine as he could have a lot of worse Ax hands here he's going to bet at least once.
      I think there's no reason to raise, so calling down flop and turn is fine, because he may bet a lot of Ax, Qx or even SD hands here.
      Assuming he's not betting KQ type of hands and KK because he's afraid and he's not bluffing with missed SD (which all are boosting our equity up) it turns out like this:
      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 48.563% 40.64% 07.92% 1216 237.00 { AsJc }
      Hand 1: 51.437% 43.52% 07.92% 1302 237.00 { AA, QQ, A5s+, A5o+ }

      It's rather loose range, but you need about 30% equity to call the river and you have it if there is any chance he could bet AT/A8/A7 that way not even mentioning Qx/KK hands.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think calldown is reasonable, since he can valuebet there worse Ax hands and have also bluff in his range