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[NL20-NL50] NL25 -AQo. Right turn bet? +help me equilate

    • DecMate
      Joined: 25.01.2009 Posts: 1,467
      Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 835652
      The Official Hand History Converter

      BB: $37.54
      UTG: $25.00
      CO: $28.07
      BTN: $68.93
      Hero (SB): $56.69

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with A :spade: Q :club:
      2 folds, BTN raises to $1, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $2.75, 1 fold

      Flop: ($7.00) 9 :heart: Q :heart: T :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.50, BB calls $4.50

      Turn: ($16.00) 4 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $10, BB folds

      I wasn't sure what to do here, i didn't want to check-raise incase he checks behind a jack and the river is ugly, so i lead out in the hope of a fold or raise, so i could ship. He played a 32/14/59 over 100 hands.

      Okay i'm trying to get using the equlator more often so don't troll on me if i get/got it wrong.
      After i 3bet the guy next to me just flats, he hadn't played many pots and had a tight calling range of a 3bet.
      In the equilator i have put him on QQ-JJ, AJs+,KQs,AQo/s and a possible AKo, because he flat called my 3bet i can't put him on KK+ or AKs.
      So i hit equilate, and it came out for me, 62.2% and him 37.8%.
      So in this situation vs his range, was i right to bet, and the ammount i did?
  • 2 replies
    • AninIII
      Joined: 13.07.2008 Posts: 944

      the thing on turn is:
      What do you want to achieve with your bet?
      That's the question you should ask yourself!
      Do you want him to fold better hands?
      Do you want him to call worse hands?
      Do you want him to bluffraise?
      Do you turn your hand into a bluff?
      What do you do if he ships turn 150BB deep?

      You have to ask yourself these questions BEFORE you bet!
      What was your plan for river if he calls again?

      A player with his stats 32/14/59 (should it be 5,9 Aggr. Factor??) can have nearly everything from 22+, A9s, ATo+, KTs+, KJo+, some suited connectors... How many hands did you have or is 59 the hand count?

      I doubt that he has there a FD on flop quite often because it's getting raised on flop normally.
      I guess he has sth. like JT or J9.
      So your bet was for protection.
      Amount on flop wasn't fine due to super drawy board. I'd bet 6$.
      On turn it's then easier to bet near pot to commit yourself.
      With your betting size you allow yourself to fold if he shoves.

      Best regards,
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      b/c turn is likely not the best option
      he may shove there pair+draw hands, but a lot of times he´d also just call with them
      I think c/c is fine line. you have hand that has showdown value, he can easily bluff/bet with worse hands and you can take your hand to showdown a lot of times
      If you decide to bet then i think b/f is little better than bet/shove. you´re littlebit deep to stack off with tp on that board imo