[NL2-NL10] 4NL FR AK vs LoosePassive

    • conall88
      conall88
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2009 Posts: 1,715
      Party Poker $5 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
      The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

      SB: $5.02
      Hero (BB): $5.00
      UTG: $0.65
      UTG+1: $5.97
      UTG+2: $2.32
      MP1: $8.45
      MP2: $6.08
      CO: $5.00 (54/8/0<3bet>/0<4bet>/30<AF%>) [63 hand sample]
      BTN: $5.00

      Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero is BB with K:diamond: A:diamond:
      5 folds, CO calls $0.04, BTN calls $0.04, SB calls $0.02, Hero raises to $0.20, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.16, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.48) 8:diamond: J:heart: Q:spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.28, BTN calls $0.28

      board is favourable, however my hand isn't made yet and I don't wanna bloat vs a station

      Turn: ($1.04) 7:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.74, BTN raises to $1.48, Hero raises to $4.52 all in, BTN calls $3.04 all in

      Great! another draw, thats gotta increase my equity by at least 15%, I'm happy to call an all in here. I'm expecting: KJ,KQ,AJ,AQ,lower flush draws, T9. of those I often beat KJ,KQ,AJ,AQ,the flush draws. I lose to two pair, sets. Villain is a fishy station, I can't really expect those to be in his range often.

      River: ($10.08) 7:heart: (2 players - 2 are all in)

      Final Pot: $10.08
      Hero mucks K:diamond: A:diamond: (a pair of Sevens)
      BTN shows Q:heart: J:spade: (two pairs, Queens and Jacks)
      BTN wins $9.58
      (Rake: $0.50)

      Did I play this OK? Is this really +EV?
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      It's really close. You have like 37% equity on the turn against his range in theory. But in practice I doubt he will call with worse drawing hands, as many straight draws are completed there.

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 37,369% 37,369% 0,000% 62,631% AdKd
      Player 2: 62,631% 62,631% 0,000% 37,369% JJ+, 88, AQs, KQs, KTs, QJs, T9s, AQo, KQo, KTo, QJo, T9o


      And judging by the way the hand was played he is clearly not folding, so I don't think shoving is the best move. You can call his minraise on the turn as you get the right price to draw and more often than not you will get paid off. Sucks though that a call on the turn will leave you with ~$3 behind and the pot is $4. I'm just trying to figure out hands like this one too, so a lot of stuff I just said could be wrong.

      Cheers.
    • conall88
      conall88
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2009 Posts: 1,715
      I'd like to hear what the judge has to say about this hand. what would you do on the turn vs BTN raiser?
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      if you have any reason to expect he might be bluffing turn and raise/folding then I´d shove turn. Also shove is good if you think he may have there some sort of other draws like KT. if you don´t see these draws in his range then b/c is better and taking your equity.
      You can always shove river if you improve