[NL20-NL50] NL25, AQ - (weak)tight fold + stove evaluations

    • slimy3
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 2,444
      Full Tilt Poker $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 852930
      The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

      BB: $37.73
      UTG: $20.72
      UTG+1: $33.12
      UTG+2: $36.36
      MP1: $12.39
      MP2: $12.57
      CO: $12.75
      BTN: $25.35
      Hero (SB): $25.00

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with A :heart: Q :club:
      7 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.50) 9 :heart: Q :heart: 8 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.25, BB raises to $3.25, Hero requests TIME, Hero folds

      V: 20/13/2/38/1.2 (VPIP/PFR/3B/FCB/AF) 144 hands

      I stoved it:

      Board: Qh 9h 8d

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 16.452% 15.85% 00.61% 2510 96.00 { AhQc }
      Hand 1: 83.548% 82.94% 00.61% 13138 96.00 { 99-88, KhJh, KhTh, Q9s, JTs, 98s }
      too tight range?

      I don't like calling and x/f to turn bet. I don't like shoving here as well. Only one option is to call flop and check/shove turn - any turn because I've got A if I wasn't have A it would be a check/shove any non turn. But still I prefer folding the flop.

      If there wasn't posibility of having a straight (JT makes flopped str8) I like more calling and x/shoving turn - still I'm not thrilled about shoving the flop (is it a mistake?). When I change 8 to 7:

      Board: Qh 9h 7d

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 41.689% 41.66% 00.03% 7424 5.00 { AhQc }
      Hand 1: 58.311% 58.28% 00.03% 10386 5.00 { 99-77, KhJh, KhTh, Q9s, 97s }
  • 3 replies
    • Dublimax
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      His range is way broader than that. You basically put him on everything that beats you!

      If he feels that you will CBet (depending on your stats) with any flop he can raise you with any 2.

      I would certainly not fold here. I would reraise him to 7.
    • Southofheaven
      Joined: 03.03.2010 Posts: 301
      What? how could he re-raise with any 2? the range op posted is pretty ok actually, and even though folding might seem weak I think it's the right move. Imagine op reraising and getting called and a 3h landing on the turn. what should he do then? c/f?
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      sb vs bb I think I´d get it all-in on the flop by 3-betting to 7$ and then calling shove
      His raising flop on this board is very often draws or pair+draws or just some bluffs
      I think you can´t really b/f flop
      You can b/c and decide on the turn if you want to put your money in, but b/f flop is too nitty