[NL20-NL50] 99 IP against MP2 villain or on JJJ flop

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      MP2:
      $50.08
      Hero:
      $46.09

      0.1/0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.87 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 9:spade: , 9:diamond:
      3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.75, MP3 folds, Hero calls $0.75, 3 folds.

      Flop: ($1.85) J:heart: , J:spade: , J:club: (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $1, MP2 calls $1.00.

      Turn: ($3.85) 5:heart: (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $2.75, MP2 calls $2.75.

      River: ($9.35) 9:club: (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $3.35, MP2 raises to $45.58 (All-In), Hero folds, MP2 gets uncalled bet back (All-In).

      Final Pot: $16.05

      He plays c/c flop I bet for value
      After his check on the turn I still think I'm ahead of his range and I bet for value and protection.

      The check on the river made me think he was calling me down with something like AK/AQ or a baby pair so I tried a thin value bet against those hands.
      His check/3xpot shove made me think of something like a J or AA/KK but:

      Does the thin value bet of 1/3 pot on the river lets me open to bluff shoves like this? If that's the case then I should call in that spot?

      His shove doesn't even look like a desperate bluff? I mean with the stone cold nuts he would want some safe value. I still think that my tiny bets made him just smell weakness and snap shove.

      Bad size bet on the flop?

      PS: It's Rush poker

      LE: Thanks Kaitz
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think you´re very often beat
      Don´t really expect him to c/rai there very often Ax or smt, he rather has Jx or AA
      I´d also check back river, doubt AX is going to call down and you rather induce there bluff than light calldown