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[NL20-NL50] AQ 3bpot

    • VzLOM
      Joined: 23.12.2007 Posts: 3,671
      Usually im not fan to play AQ 3b pots. I basically fold it pf on raise of 4bpush . But this looks like fairly good spot. We have position, AQ is suited and range of this guy is pretty wide (although he's still foldin all worse if we 4b)

      So how u like it?

      Villian 15\12\3.6\6,5 3b\resteal from bb 10%\fold @ 4b 100(4)\cbet in 3b pot 100 (7)

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($52.05)
      BB ($67.85)
      UTG ($52.50)
      UTG+1 ($50.75)
      Hero ($127)
      BTN ($65.35)

      Dealt to Hero Q:heart: A:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.75, fold, SB raises to $6, fold, Hero calls $4.25

      FLOP ($12.50) 8:heart: A:club: T:club:

      SB bets $6.50, Hero calls $6.50

      TURN ($25.50) 8:heart: A:club: T:club: 9:club:

      SB bets $14, Hero raises to $81.50, SB calls $25.55 (AI)

      RIVER ($104) 8:heart: A:club: T:club: 9:club: A:diamond:
  • 4 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      call pf is fine
      I like raising flop and playing for stacks, since he can´t really get away there AJ/AT and I don´t expect him to barrel turn that often
      As played. shove turn is fine, you´re still sometimes ahead, so fine to get your money in
    • Bierbaer
      Joined: 27.05.2005 Posts: 7,989
      How many hands do you have from him?

      I think preflop is close, a 4bet would probably be -EV given his tight ranges in general.
      Calling IP should be fine, a fold is also ok since his SB-resteal-range is probably tighter than his BB-resteal-range.

      As played I'd also call on the flop.
      If we raise he will continue with this range: {AA,TT,AJs+,KcQc,AKo}. That are about 2.8% of total hands, so against a 5% range we have ~45% foldequity assuming he cbets any2.

      You can calculate and you'll see that it's -EV to raise/call given our equity against his AI-range:
      Board: Ac Tc 8h

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 72.555% 66.33% 06.22% 33490 3143.00 { AA, TT, AJs+, KcQc, AKo }
      Hand 1: 27.445% 21.22% 06.22% 10714 3143.00 { AQs }

      As played on the turn I'd fold.
      AJ is about the only hand we're ahead of and I think he doesn't 2ndbarrel hands like KK and worse.

      Given our bad equity + bad playability it sucks, but imo we actually have to fold:
      Board: Ac Tc 8h 9c

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 75.134% 69.25% 05.88% 1554 132.00 { AA, TT, AJs+, KcQc, AKo }
      Hand 1: 24.866% 18.98% 05.88% 426 132.00 { AQs }
    • VzLOM
      Joined: 23.12.2007 Posts: 3,671
      resteal from bb 10%

      i mean sb.
      So his range is pretty wide. Do u think he can hold A2s-A7s, 22-77? I think u gave him too narrow range. But i agree we need more reads to tell correctly that he could bet 2 streets on bluff w small pairs or on valuebets w tp_no_kicker.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I believe his range is definitely wider than AA, TT, AJs+, KcQc, AKo that he is getting all-in on the flop
      you should see a lot of times hands like 89cc, QJcc, maybe even lower suited connectors and if he happens to 3-bet with Axs hands then likely he´d shove them also
      Turn: you can fold, but it makes against you playing very easy if you can´t stand going to showdown on that turn card
      I think KK-JJ with clubs can easily barrel there and also any K or Q high flushdraw with some gutshot, like KcQx