[NL20-NL50] NL 50 SH, XX, push any flop?

    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

      Known players:
      CO (Hero):
      $51.50
      BU:
      $38.10
      SB:
      $468.40
      BB:
      $78.20
      MP3:
      $24.20


      Preflop: Hero is CO with K, A.
      MP3 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, BU raises to $4.00, 2 folds, Hero raises to $13.00, BU calls $9.00.

      Flop: ($26.75) T, 4, J (2 players)
      Hero bets $26.00, BU folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.



      Villain's stats:
      Hands: 52
      VPIP/PFR: 52/27
      3bet: 21.4
      AF: 10.5



      Is there any flop you wouldn't push AI?
      I'm pushing 100% w/ 100 BB stacks.
      Is it OK from strategy point of view?
  • 4 replies
    • Hackett77
      Hackett77
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2009 Posts: 372
      Not sure i would push that flop, id say thats the worst flop you could hope for,

      but then again versus a range of say 99+AQ+AQs+ its basically a coinflip, I just wouldnt expect a fold all to often with mostly only 4 outs to my hand

      tp://www.PokerStrategy.com
      22,784,310 games processed in 13 seconds.

      Board: Jh Tc 4s
      Dead:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 48.298 % 37.133 % 22.329 % 40.538 % AcKd
      Player 2: 51.702 % 40.538 % 22.329 % 37.133 % KK-99, AQs+, AQo+


      if you remove AQo and AKs(o) from his range then were not in good shape at all

      http://www.PokerStrategy.com
      Operation canceled... 6,424,723 games processed in 2 seconds.

      Board: Jh Tc 4s
      Dead:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 34.268 % 33.971 % 0.595 % 65.434 % AcKd
      Player 2: 65.732 % 65.434 % 0.595 % 33.971 % KK-99, AQs


      ----------------------------------------


      http://www.PokerStrategy.com
      22,784,310 games processed in 13 seconds.

      Board: Jh Tc 4s
      Dead:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 48.298 % 37.133 % 22.329 % 40.538 % AcKd
      Player 2: 51.702 % 40.538 % 22.329 % 37.133 % KK-99, AQs+, AQo+


      ----------------------------------------

      So were only really a coinflip in the first instance because of the possibily he also has AK which is unlikely or that he calls a 4bet IP with AQs (which i guess he did too in this case.






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    • mrxLT
      mrxLT
      Silver
      Joined: 02.09.2008 Posts: 435
      I would check/shove. You dont affraid to give free card, and this way you even got some FE.
    • VTomukas
      VTomukas
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.12.2007 Posts: 251
      I doubt if check/shove has any fold equity there - except the real junk fish tried to steal the pot on flop. But ir case of a value thing - yes, against that type of fish it may be the real thing.

      Also I think there flops you wouldn't like to open shove - like 8 7 6 :)
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I would shove close to 90% of flops where I miss
      I´d check definitely like AAK or smt flops, also I think dry Ax flops are fine to check and let him chance to bluff with worse hands
      as played: nice shove. You have enough equity when called and I think he would fold there some hands