[NL20-NL50] NL 25 FR, QJs resteal from BB

• Bronze
Joined: 27.07.2009
Hello guys,

I think I played this hand correctly, but I want to prove it to myself with an equation and see how much +EV play it was.
I think it is somewhere in the strategy section, but I would like to use this example and from here I will do it myself
So here I go:

\$0.1/\$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

Known players:
MP3:
\$22.00
CO:
\$9.63
BU:
\$38.84
SB:
\$21.31
BB (Hero):
\$25.00
MP2:
\$25.00

villain is 12/11 after 105 hands, 46% resteal (13)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J, Q.
3 folds, BU raises to \$0.75, SB folds, Hero raises to \$2.50, BU calls \$1.75.

Flop: (\$5.1) 2, 4, J (2 players)
Hero bets \$2.75, BU calls \$2.75.

Turn: (\$10.6) T (2 players)
Hero checks, BU bets \$6.00, Hero raises to \$19.75, BU folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.

Final Pot: \$16.6.

My plan on flop was to c/r AI any safe card meaning no A,K and club. For that cas I had to bet one BB more on F.

I give him calling range 99+, AQ+ of which I can count everything as continuation range on given flop. I have 55% equity against 45%.
If i exclude AA and KK from that range I have 68 to 32 because I think he would 3 bet them either preflop or on flop. and even if not I can discount my equity on flop to 60% against his 40%.
On the turn he bets 6 into 10.6 so I bet 19.75 to win 16.6.
I have 54% equity of the pot and he has 46%.

His range without AA, but with KK is 3,32%. Against that range I have 58% equity on turn. He folds AKo, AKs and AQs that isnt hearts or clubs. other things he shoves. So his shoving range is 2,4% and against that range I have 33% equity. So I have 30% fold equity plus 33% hand range equity.

And now I don't know how to continue with the equation, but I have a feeling that the play with the assigned hand range wasn't so +Ev as I thought. It looks to me as breakeven play.

I know the equation is based on a reasonably tight calling range. If I add some random broadway crap or lower pocket pairs I get better results.

Thank you for help and advices
• Bronze
Joined: 02.02.2007
I like how you played it
by c/rai turn you don´t have to worry about river card, he can b/c there with worse draws and if you´re behind you have enough equity
Nh