[NL20-NL50] cooler?

    • Dublimax
      Dublimax
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      €0.1/€0.2 No-Limit Hold'em (3 handed)

      Known players:
      31.47
      30.51
      54.95


      Preflop: Hero is BU with 9, 9.
      Hero raises to €0.60, SB folds, BB calls €0.40.

      Flop: (€1.3) 2, 5, 9 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets €0.65, BB raises to €2.43, Hero calls €1.78.

      Turn: (€6.16) T (2 players)
      BB bets €3.80, Hero calls €3.80.

      River: (€13.76) 8 (2 players)
      BB bets €24.64(All-In), Hero calls €23.68(All-In).

      Final Pot: €62.08.

      Villain is VP:31PR:26/AFq:67 over 42 hands.
  • 4 replies
    • AninIII
      AninIII
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.07.2008 Posts: 944
      Hi,

      as the board on flop is somewhat dry I'd play b/c ip too if villain is aggressive enough to barrel his air/marginal hands/overpairs on turn again.
      On turn a raise is mandatory, as he can easily hold sth. like 87, QJ with which he bluffraised on flop.
      As played: Easy call on river. If he has it, it's a cooler imo. And if he has TT it's a cooler anyway.

      Best regards,
      Anin
    • Dublimax
      Dublimax
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      Originally posted by AninIII
      On turn a raise is mandatory, as he can easily hold sth. like 87, QJ with which he bluffraised on flop.
      As played: Easy call on river. If he has it, it's a cooler imo. And if he has TT it's a cooler anyway.
      Anin,

      Turn raise indeed to protect 87 and QJ. Since it is only 2 combos I decided to slowplay it with no real need for protection.
      The river hit QJ basically. Why is it easy call?

      Thanks
    • noclaninator
      noclaninator
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.12.2008 Posts: 312
      Assuming he never bluffs river: he can have

      QJ 16 combos
      TT 4 combos

      = 20 that beat u

      T9 3 combos
      98 3 combos
      22 3 combos
      55 3 combos
      88 3 combos

      = 15 that u beat (not counting bluffs)

      15/35 = about 43% chance of you having the best hand. You have to call 24 to win 38 which means u need only 38% win chances. Easy call.

      Turn is a standard raise. You can call again only if he is capable of bluffing the river. If he can bluff the river then you don't really need to protect, the money goes in with his entire range anyways.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      b/c flop is standard, since he either is bluffing or has set that you can get all-in anyway on the turn or river
      I think I like maybe turn raise, since if he is bluffing, I doubt he is firing river that often and if he has set then better to get all-in on the turn than maybe some scared river, although since board is still quite dry I think call is also reasonable
      RIver call is fine, he should have there sets/two pairs and bluffs enough times that you can call him down