# [NL2-NL10] NL200 AA mono board c/raised

• Bronze
Joined: 08.03.2009
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem \$2(BB) Replayer
SB (\$128)
BB (\$60)
UTG (\$41.10)
Hero (\$130)
UTG+2 (\$58.60)
MP1 (\$144)
CO (\$96.15)
BTN (\$131)

Dealt to Hero A A

fold, Hero raises to \$6, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls \$4

FLOP (\$13) 5 4 9

BB checks, Hero bets \$8, BB raises to \$20, Hero raises to \$124 (AI)

Hi,

Villain just joined the table so he is unknown. He does have a fishy stack, as from what I remember he bought in with 30xbb.

The c/r on mono board is ugly! He could have set, 2-pair FD flush OESD...
Was I stubborn to shove ?
Or just follow the basic strategy and jam it with OP; thinking he will take this line with 66 for example?

Thanks,

T.
• 2 replies
• Bronze
Joined: 07.05.2008
I would bet \$10 as a cBet, it forces him to put more money in the pot if he wants to c/R bluff you. You bet really really weak which he can easily risk \$20 (w/o being committed) to win \$21 hence I think he plays perfect because of you.

I rule out pure bluffs and weak-semibluffs. Hence you are in a spot of slightly ahead/way behind spot in the sense of facing 2pair+ or facing flushdraw+pair or some kind of combo draw

So you are facing & you have %equity:
** Made flushes = 2.8% equity
** 2pairs (54s) = 21% equity
** set = 12% equity
** Pair+Flushdraw (A:h9) = 56% equity
** OESD+Flushdraw (7:h6) = 44% equity
** naked flushdraw (A:hT) = 63% equity
** Gutshot+Flushdraw (8:h6) = 53%
** pocketpair with a
-> 6:h6 = 55%
-> T:hTs = 58%

As you can see you have around 62% maximum equity against a rockbottom of 15% at worst.

Assuming he won't c/R to fold on your shove because I do not think he ever does this with pure air, it is safe to say EV-wise it is better to either ''call'' and expect to shove it in on a safe turn. or to fold

Best regards,
Gerv
• Bronze
Joined: 08.03.2009
Hi Gerv,

Hmm yes, it's about what I thought reviewing the hand as well (slightly ahead/way behind). I bet so small because I've read in some article to bet 1/2 pot on mono boards... I wont do that anymore

If we do bet \$10 and get raised it's a clear fold or can we call? As you said he cant really bluff anymore and our average equity sux. So against unknow I think folding is the best play.

I was really suprised to see him doing this with 66 and NO FD I was the luckier fish this time

I checked it, it was his first hand at the table. He immediately left after he lost. Probably made a \$60 deposit and lost it on his first hand

T.