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[NL2-NL10] NL10 FR - Full House over double-paired board

    • Kaabr
      Joined: 20.11.2009 Posts: 91
      Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 873307
      The Official Hand History Converter

      MP1: $10.00
      Hero (MP2): $9.85
      CO: $22.46
      BTN: $9.90
      SB: $10.00
      BB: $16.34
      UTG: $19.21
      UTG+1: $9.95

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is MP2 with J :diamond: A :spade:
      UTG calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.45, 4 folds, UTG calls $0.35

      Flop: ($1.05) A :heart: Q :spade: J :spade: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $0.80, UTG raises to $1.60, Hero raises to $4, UTG calls $2.40

      Turn: ($9.05) J :heart: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero checks

      River: ($9.05) Q :heart: (2 players)
      UTG bets $6.30, Hero is lost?

      Villain 39/2 over 184 hands

      Hadn't any clue what to do...
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      I'd just jam the turn, his line looks more like a made hand/combo draw than a pure draw based on his player type, so I think it's a lot more profitable for us to force him to call it off on the turn before everything misses. Maybe sometimes he was just going nuts with Ax and I doubt he's folding it on the turn as well. It's quite possible he sometimes shows us a flopped set tho, what can you do.

      As played on the river his shove mostly discards lone Ax top pairs from his range unless he's insanely aggressive and can merge top pairs into river jams there, which he probably isn't being a 39/2. The J turn and Q river make JJ/QQ a lot less likely, AQ probably fits best except I see no reason for him not to shove the flop. The determining factor for me is that he could have played KT like that all the way, and 16 KT combos trump 3+4+1+1=9 AA/AQ/QQ/JJ combos, so we can't lay down the river for 2/3 ever.

      Hope it helps.