[NL2-NL10] NL10 - AQo from button

    • nitaidean
      nitaidean
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.05.2010 Posts: 60
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      UTG2:
      $9.90
      MP1:
      $17.09
      MP2:
      $10.00
      MP3:
      $4.81
      CO:
      $11.40
      BU (Hero):
      $10.00
      SB:
      $10.76
      BB:
      $9.14


      villain stats:
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------
      21/15/5 (35 hands)
      turn stats: check/raise: 100% (1), Agg freq: 100% (4)
      river stats: Agg freq: 100% (2)
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------


      Preflop: Hero is BU with A, Q.
      5 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.7) A, 2, T (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.40, SB calls $0.40.

      Turn: ($1.5) 5 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.10, SB raises to $2.40, Hero calls $1.30.

      River: ($6.3) J (2 players)
      SB bets $7.66, Hero folds, SB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $6.3.




      Villain has a tendency to c/r the turn and barrel the river, I've seen him do it before (at least the stats tell me he did it before). However, I just couldn't bring myself to call that shove with just 1 pair... I've been beat too often in these situations where villain shows some ragged 2 pair that he hit on the turn or some such. What do ya'll think?
  • 2 replies
    • Shinersen
      Shinersen
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.07.2009 Posts: 4,333
      In my oppinion your play is correct.
      with AK he would raise you preflop.
      but there are a lot of A in his range AT, AJ but also little aces like A2 A5.
      I put him on A2 A5. these are the hands that makes sense to play.
      Anyway 35 hands is a small sample size to make reads from his stats..but i would also fold on the river
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,

      Originally posted by Shinerseb
      In my oppinion your play is correct.
      with AK he would raise you preflop.
      but there are a lot of A in his range AT, AJ but also little aces like A2 A5.
      I put him on A2 A5. these are the hands that makes sense to play.
      Anyway 35 hands is a small sample size to make reads from his stats..but i would also fold on the river
      Agreed, tho he probably only has suited version of the baby aces, obviously 22 as well and possibly some TT. 35 hands is just too small a sample to start calling down against those lines, especially when "you know he did it before because the stats say so but you don't remember so you didn't see a showdown", which is pretty much worthless to make a frequency-based read on a tag after only 35 hands.


      Hope it helps.