[NL20-NL50] NL25 99(mp1), fr

    • TetraQuark
      TetraQuark
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,520
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      SB:
      $20.68
      BB:
      $17.90
      UTG2:
      $53.91
      MP1 (Hero):
      $25.45
      MP2:
      $25.00
      MP3:
      $25.00
      CO:
      $27.34
      BU:
      $25.68


      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 9, 9.
      CO posts deadblind, UTG2 folds, Hero raises to $1.00, 2 folds, CO calls $0.75, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($2.45) 5, 2, 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.50, CO raises to $5.20, Hero calls $3.70.

      Turn: ($12.85) 3 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $8.00, Hero raises to $19.25(All-In), CO calls $11.25.

      River: ($51.35) Q (2 players)


      Final Pot: $51.35.

      Hi!

      Villain is 20/16/2.1, ch/r flop 6%, wts 27% and posted dead blind.

      What do you think of this play? Is he capable playing that line with draws? Does it even pay off in a long run to flip against his strong draw (to which I am behind EQ vise) if he is not going broke with some mid PP too?
  • 3 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      when he limp/calls I don´t really do that with TT+, so I think you´re very often ahead and I think by c/rai turn you gain quite a lot by bluffs and worse hands, like flushdraws.
      Don´t see him raising that big with 88-66 or even 55 or 2x, so I think it is mostly draws and 99 beat draws, so I like your play
    • TetraQuark
      TetraQuark
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,520
      Well he had KK, not that it matters. It is just that everytime I choose a play like this it ends up against villains top range.

      On other note, I can see this player doing the same play and also almost always caling with every suited connector 56 onwards, suited broadway, suited aces and TT+. Obviusely not with mid pp. If you put this into equilator I am quite behind? So in a long run...? How frequently does he have to bluff for me to be even 50:50?

      These moves just annoye me. Specially on nl25 where I think ABC play is still the only right way and thinking too much just gets you in trouble.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      posting blind and then not raising with KK is very rare, but if you know he can do that then you can start b/f flops if you don´t think villain can raise there draws.
      Just it is very hard him to represent anything that´s why I´d rather go to showdown than give up my hand