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[NL20-NL50] NL25 AK(mp1), fr

    • TetraQuark
      TetraQuark
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,521
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      SB:
      $27.54
      BB:
      $28.64
      UTG1:
      $26.81
      UTG2:
      $7.12
      MP1 (Hero):
      $25.37
      MP2:
      $24.65
      MP3:
      $28.73
      CO:
      $12.38
      BU:
      $23.93


      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A, K.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.00, MP2 calls $1.00, 5 folds, 4 folds, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($2.35) 2, A, 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.50, MP2 raises to $3.85, Hero calls $2.35.

      Turn: ($10.05) 6 (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP2 bets $4.00, Hero raises to $12.00, MP2 raises to $19.80, Hero calls $7.80.

      River: ($49.65) T (2 players)


      Final Pot: $49.65.

      Hi!

      Villain is 12/8/1.7 560hands with 40% raising of cbet (10).

      Is this a good line for further bluff induce on turn and can I rely on such a small samplesize or is it to marginal and i see sets there all of the time???
  • 3 replies
    • i5bet72o
      i5bet72o
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.06.2010 Posts: 1,615
      honestly, i dont think a 10 sample (on this preticular stat) is enough to make a move based upon. I like just folding to his F raise against a 12/10 guy.
    • TetraQuark
      TetraQuark
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,521
      Yeah, you are right. The thing that got to me was the frequency he raised pfa cbet. But if I look at it from another perspective. He is a nit, he almost always calls strong hands preflop. So a couple of JJ-QQ, AK and sets that hit an there is a 40% in 10hands. Really gotta stop relying on small samplesizes(which are soooo relative) and stop looking for a needle in a hay stack! It is eatin away my winnings bit by bit! :f_cry:
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      it sucks when 12/8 raises you on that board
      I think he often has there 22 or 77. So I´d take very passive line and c/c turn and likely would c/f river