[NL2-NL10] NL10 FR - 89s IP FD+SD on turn x shove

    • Kaabr
      Joined: 20.11.2009 Posts: 91
      Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 891312
      The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

      Hero (CO): $10.13
      BTN: $11.87
      SB: $8.05
      BB: $8.00
      UTG: $4.75
      UTG+1: $10.00
      MP1: $17.83
      MP2: $10.00

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with 9 :diamond: 8 :diamond:
      2 folds, MP1 raises to $0.30, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.30, 3 folds

      Flop: ($0.75) T :diamond: 5 :club: J :spade: (2 players)
      MP1 bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40

      Turn: ($1.55) 3 :diamond: (2 players)
      MP1 bets $1.40, Hero raises to $3.90, MP1 raises to $16.70, Hero ?

      Villain 24/19/3.7, 141 hands, regardless the small sample: 87% flop cbet, 100% turn cbet.

      What now ?(
  • 2 replies
    • SPwoodrose
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 87
      I don't think you can call the turn shove here. You need something like 43% equity and against his going broke range we don't have that.

      Rest of the hand is good IMO.

      Someone correct me if my maths is wrong there :P
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      It is wrong, for a dumb reason: effective stacks are only ~100bb. Hero has to call ~$5.5 to win a pot of ~$14.9, pretty much a mandatory call with possibly 15 outs. Sometimes he'll show up AdKd and we'll cry but whatever, once we get there we can't fold.

      I like your line otherwise, tho villain's bet sizing on the turn is a bit spooky. I'd look for a read there, him possibly betting smallish again with bluffs when he's second barreling.

      Hope it helps.