[NL20-NL50] AJs pot with poster 2ndbarrel turn?

    • hova
      Joined: 09.11.2006 Posts: 3,677
      Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

      BTN: $30.45
      SB: $16.75
      BB: $22.75
      UTG: $26.00
      Hero (MP): $26.60
      CO: $20.00

      CO posts a big blind ($0.50)

      Pre Flop: ($1.25) Hero is MP with A:spade: J:spade:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $2, CO calls $1.50, 2 folds, BB calls $1.50

      Flop: ($6.25) 5:club: K:heart: 2:club: (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $4, CO calls $4, BB folds

      Turn: ($14.25) 4:spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO checks

      He has potsize left on the turn. I picked up 4 more outs, meaning if he calls a pair I have around 20% Equity, if he calls Kx I'm almost smoked.

      He posts and then defends his post and calls the flop quickly. Imo people that post want to win the hand under all circumstances (which is nice if you flop a value hand), ofc his range is very weak but is the 2nd barrel +ev? What do you think?
  • 2 replies
    • KittBizi
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 16
      I would check. He isn't going to fold Kx here to a turn bet and if he has a draw you still have a chance to win the pot with Ace high when you get to showdown cheaply.
      I don't see him fold any small pairs either since the board hasn't changed that much on the turn.

      When he checks behind the turn he most likely has some showdown value. I would play ch/f on the river if I don't improve.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      imo you don´t have enough equity to barrel turn and since he has a little more than potsize left I think he is going often shove there any draw and not sure he would even fold there any pair