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[NL2-NL10] nl10 QTs in 3b pot

    • 0890477319
      Joined: 17.02.2010 Posts: 1,139
      Villain 22/19/2,7/3b 9,7/wts 23/226 hands
      was pretty active, so I call QTs to play it postflop. He bets flop really fast and also over shove turn fast. I thought he want to protect his AQ, QQ+, but really there is so many draws that he could play the same way, so I need 35% to call

      I see his range like Ax flush draw, combos, dopers, sets, and made straight and made hands. So in equity it's

      Board: 8s9dqs 5d

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 62,374% 61,911% 0,926% 37,163% QQ+, 99-88, AsKs, AdKd, AQs, AsJs, AdJd, AsTs, AdTd, As9s, Ad9d, As8s, Ad8d, As7s, Ad7d, As6s, Ad6d, As5s, Ad5d, As4s, Ad4d, As3s, Ad3d, As2s, Ad2d, JTs, T9s, 98s, 8d7d, AQo
      Player 2: 37,626% 37,163% 0,926% 61,911% QhTh

      Is call would be fine here?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.05)
      BB ($15.30)
      CO ($6.84)
      Hero ($10.05)

      Dealt to Hero T:heart: Q:heart:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, BB raises to $1.10, Hero calls $0.80

      FLOP ($2.25) 8:spade: 9:diamond: Q:spade:

      BB bets $1.80, Hero calls $1.80

      TURN ($5.85) 8:spade: 9:diamond: Q:spade: 5:diamond:

      BB bets $7.15, Hero folds

      BB wins $5.56
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      I wouldn't call the flop without calling it off on the turn. It's such an awful board for him to c-bet with nothing even if he happened to be 3betting light preflop, that I assume he'd at least have some sort of draw, which there is still plenty he could jam with on the turn.

      So I guess if you thought he was out of line enough preflop and aggressive enough to c-bet that board without having QT beat, you likely have to go all the way. Sometimes you'll get shown a premium, sometimes he'll be drawing and get there, sometimes you'll own him. Once you start trying to playback at people one way or another it's always going to be high-variance, so stick with your plan and see it through.

      Hope it helps.