[NL20-NL50] nl50 AA 3b pot, horrible board, worse turn

    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,401
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($73.60)
      BB ($63.60)
      UTG ($52)
      UTG+1 ($36)
      CO ($52.10)
      BTN ($50.55)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: A:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5.50, fold, BTN calls $4

      FLOP ($11.50) T:club: Q:club: 9:club:

      Hero bets $8, BTN calls $8

      TURN ($27.50) T:club: Q:club: 9:club: J:club:

      Hero checks, BTN checks

      RIVER ($27.50) T:club: Q:club: 9:club: J:club: J:heart:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $10, Hero calls $10

      villain is 18/13/5, 209 hands, stl 26, (no sample for fold versus 3b).
      pretty disgusting board but I think we have to bet since otherwise we would check/fold?
      turn is even worse since all of his likely range for calling our three bet IP now has me beat other than AQ. I planned to check/fold the turn therefore. but when villain checked behind and bet so small on the River, curiosity got the better of me. Just fold?
      against {77+, AJs+, KQs, AQo+, KQo} we have just 10% equity according to EQuilator.
  • 2 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I would c/f river
      Most players should raise flop with two pair, so very likely that he had flop some kind of draw and now just valuebetting river
      You´re likely not good enough times to call profitable. There can be argument to bluffshove river, but it is very riski and not really sure that players would b/f flushes
    • wasy8
      wasy8
      Black
      Joined: 29.01.2009 Posts: 1,507
      Line looks good up to river. I'm snapfolding river and not thinking twice about it, there is literally nothing you beat on this board in a 3bet pot against villain with those stats.