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[NL2-NL10] Rush NL10, JJ facing a raise on 9-high flop

    • Gugi19
      Joined: 08.01.2010 Posts: 325
      Full Tilt - $0.10 NL RUSH - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      MP: $10.00
      MP+1: $11.64
      LP: $13.04
      CO: $10.05
      BTN: $4.00
      SB: $10.94
      BB: $5.30
      Hero (UTG): $15.44
      UTG+1: $10.21

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has J:diamond: J:heart:

      Hero raises to $0.35, fold, MP calls $0.35, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: ($0.85, 2 players) 3:spade: 5:diamond: 9:heart:
      Hero bets $0.55, MP raises to $1.50, fold

      Villain is unknown. What would you do here? It really felt like he has a set. Is it better to call and go for c/f turn or something?
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Usually no, it's not better to call flop c/f turn.

      You don't see people pure bluffing the flop that often at these stakes, they're just not good enough at hand-reading for that. Sometimes you'll meet some random reg that watched too many high stakes videos the night before and is on a spewing spree, or an aggro fish that just can't help himself even tho he has no idea what he's doing, that's about it. So way more often than not, he'll bet the turn as well with whatever he has, meaning if you call the flop and fold the turn you're just leaking away money.

      Also notice he doesn't just have sets in his range, it's perfectly possible he flatted QQ+ preflop and he's raising the flop with those hands "for value", even tho it's actually pretty bad against tags capable of folding top pairs and small overpairs. Showing up with QQ when your opponent expects you to have a set usually will just result in you getting owned by sets and losing action from everything else.

      I'd consider calling the flop and folding the turn if the flop was a bit lower, meaning it was possible for villain to have lower overpairs than us and be "information raising" them on the flop.

      Hope it helps.