[NL2-NL10] NL200 SB ATo squeeze

    • Tampaloeres81
      Tampaloeres81
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.03.2009 Posts: 1,416
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $2(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($40)
      BB ($41)
      UTG ($89.75)
      UTG+1 ($92)
      UTG+2 ($83.65)
      MP1 ($43.30)
      MP2 ($34)
      CO ($85.35)
      BTN ($37)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: T:club:

      UTG raises to $4, UTG+1 calls $4, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $40 (AI), fold, fold, UTG+1 calls $36

      FLOP ($86) 6:diamond: 8:heart: 2:club:

      TURN ($86) 6:diamond: 8:heart: 2:club: J:heart:

      RIVER ($86) 6:diamond: 8:heart: 2:club: J:heart: A:heart:

      UTG+1 shows K:club: Q:heart:
      (Pre 41%, Flop 23.3%, Turn 13.6%)

      Hero shows A:diamond: T:club:
      (Pre 59%, Flop 76.7%, Turn 86.4%)

      Hero wins $83

      Hi,

      UTG is loosing fish (PTR)
      UTG+1 is winning reg (PTR)

      I thought for a while and deceided to squeeze. The fish can open 2xbb pretty wide or super tight. I didnt have other reads yet (first orbit)
      UTG+1 (also no other reads yet) can call wider to play IP with the fish but since it is UTG maybe not that wide.

      What do you think of the squeeze?

      I showed the results because I was surprised that UTG+1 called with KQo :f_o:
      He will need 43% (call 36 to win (50-3)) EQ for the call so I must shove 22+, A6+, KT+ or wider! A clear mistake IMO.

      Thanks,

      T.
  • 4 replies
    • justkyle88
      justkyle88
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 7,596
      Well do u think utg will raise wider than that range u gave if he is a fish like u say?
    • Tampaloeres81
      Tampaloeres81
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.03.2009 Posts: 1,416
      Originally posted by justkyle88
      Well do u think utg will raise wider than that range u gave if he is a fish like u say?
      UTG is fish and yeah seems like a range that is the nuts in a fishy eye
      UTG+1 reg

      I expect the fish to fold most of the time OR call way too light. Either way its ok. Depends on the fish but he is still unknown fish...

      I expected that the reg would also fold most of the time...

      So in most cases I pick up the dead money or end up in a flip.

      T.
    • justkyle88
      justkyle88
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 7,596
      I think it is fine then.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      If winning reg has a genuine hand he is 3betting small to isolate himself with the fish hence he doesn't have AJs+,KQs+,TT+,AQo+ so your ATo is crushing all day long regardless what happens after you have gone all-in

      Nice hand,
      Gerv :)