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[NL2-NL10] NL 10, 89s playing nicely by the odds given

    • Pichux
      Joined: 02.02.2009 Posts: 318
      ***** Hand History for Game 2434739379 ***** (IPoker)
      $10.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Friday, September 17, 07:54:35 ET 2010
      Table Rewo (Real Money)
      Seat 6 is the button
      Seat 1: buree08 ( $2.79 USD )
      Seat 3: Piters1990 ( $11.38 USD )
      Seat 5: Saimon19 ( $7.82 USD )
      Seat 6: PoNFi23 ( $2.20 USD )
      Seat 8: letsflip4rolls1 ( $16.11 USD )
      Seat 10: vanag ( $6.88 USD )
      letsflip4rolls1 posts small blind [$0.05 USD].
      vanag posts big blind [$0.10 USD].
      ** Dealing down cards **
      Dealt to Piters1990 [ 8 :diamond: 9 :diamond: ]
      buree08 raises [$0.20 USD]
      Piters1990 calls [$0.20 USD]
      Saimon19 folds
      PoNFi23 folds
      letsflip4rolls1 folds
      vanag raises [$0.50 USD]
      buree08 calls [$0.40 USD]
      Piters1990 calls [$0.40 USD]
      ** Dealing Flop ** [ Q :diamond: , 5 :spade: , 6 :diamond: ]
      vanag bets [$1.00 USD]
      buree08 folds
      Piters1990 calls [$1.00 USD]
      ** Dealing Turn ** [ 3 :club: ]
      vanag bets [$2.00 USD]
      Piters1990 calls [$2.00 USD]
      ** Dealing River ** [ T :diamond: ]
      vanag bets [$3.28 USD]
      Piters1990 calls [$3.28 USD]

      Villain: 23/12/1.2 on 835h sample. As much i seen him playing postflop, i'll take him as a bad reg.

      I think everything is done here just what the odds tells us to do. When replayed the hand in HEM, i really saw, that i played this perfectly to the odds i had here. 22% pre, 43% on flop and exactly 25% on turn. Now i just wanted to be sure, that we can still fold the river, if we don't hit anything there as i'm still having some problems with understanding why should we call with hands that are good just once in a blue moon, considering the push size of the villain.
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Not thrilled about calling preflop with that hand considering villain's shortstack, I guess it's fine if you expect other players behind you with deeper stacks to come along.

      Rest is fine imo, I'm happy calling the river since he'll probably just jam the rest of his money in with overpairs/TPTK/sets regardless of the flush coming in.

      If we don't hit we have 9-high, which makes it a pretty tough call getting poor odds unless you soulread villain for 87 (which we have an 8 blocker to), especially considering his line fits with all sorts of strong hands that crush 9-high. It's all odds and ranges.

      Just imagine somehow you have the same board against a good lag, except the river is a 2o brick and villain lays you 10:1 on a call for whatever reason. If you think he can take the same line with some low diamonds and the OESDs that busted, that makes up for more than 1:10 of his range even if he has all strong made hands as well, meaning you beat enough of his range with 9-high to justifying calling for those odds even tho you're crushed the vast majority of the time still.

      You don't have to look for those spots at microstakes, people don't bluff often enough that you usually can make those calls with very marginal bluff-catchers.

      Hope it answered your blue moon question somewhat.