[NL2-NL10] NL2 1010 in MP+1

    • BigAl123456
      BigAl123456
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2010 Posts: 4,080
      PartyGaming - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      MP: $2.00
      Hero (MP+1): $2.00
      LP: $4.56
      CO: $2.16
      BTN: $6.68
      SB: $4.22
      BB: $0.70
      UTG: $1.90
      UTG+1: $2.00

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02, CO posts DB $0.03

      Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero has T:diamond: T:club:

      UTG calls $0.02, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.12, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $0.10

      Flop: ($0.30, 2 players) 7:heart: 6:club: T:heart:
      UTG checks, Hero bets $0.14, UTG calls $0.14

      Turn: ($0.58, 2 players) 9:heart:
      UTG checks, Hero bets $0.30, UTG raises to $1.64 and is all-in, Hero calls $1.34

      River: ($3.86, 2 players) 5:spade:
  • 2 replies
    • Duudalinja
      Duudalinja
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.12.2009 Posts: 1,030
      Howdy,

      Well, it is close but I opt to call here. You need like 35% equity and against pure range of flushes (most likely ones) you have 36%.

      Board: 7h 6c Th 9h
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 36.193% 34.77% 01.42% 306 12.50 { TcTd }
      Hand 1: 63.807% 62.39% 01.42% 549 12.50 { AhJh, Ah9h, A8s, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ac3c, Ah3h, As3s, Ac2c, Ah2h, As2s, KhQh, KhJh, Kh8h, QhJh, Qh8h, Jh8h, Th8h }

      So if we add possibility of sets, two pairs, AhX/KhX redraws, etc. - it seems fine. Ofc he may have some kind of straight aswell, but I think there are not so many 8x that are going to call preflop raise unless it is usual thing he does with any two.
      So all in all I'm not too happy bout calling, but I would do that just because I think we got equity we need to do that and we have no info about opp to make any deeper assumptions.

      Good luck!
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by Duudalinja
      Howdy,

      Well, it is close but I opt to call here. You need like 35% equity and against pure range of flushes (most likely ones) you have 36%.

      Board: 7h 6c Th 9h
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 36.193% 34.77% 01.42% 306 12.50 { TcTd }
      Hand 1: 63.807% 62.39% 01.42% 549 12.50 { AhJh, Ah9h, A8s, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ac3c, Ah3h, As3s, Ac2c, Ah2h, As2s, KhQh, KhJh, Kh8h, QhJh, Qh8h, Jh8h, Th8h }

      So if we add possibility of sets, two pairs, AhX/KhX redraws, etc. - it seems fine. Ofc he may have some kind of straight aswell, but I think there are not so many 8x that are going to call preflop raise unless it is usual thing he does with any two.
      So all in all I'm not too happy bout calling, but I would do that just because I think we got equity we need to do that and we have no info about opp to make any deeper assumptions.

      Good luck!
      +1
      To me it is easy call, since he can easily shove as weak as pair+flushdraw and two pairs