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[NL20-NL50] nl50 SH 78s blind battle

    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($50)
      BB ($50)
      UTG ($50.75)
      CO ($43.75)
      BTN ($57.25)

      Dealt to Hero 8:club: 7:club:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2, BB calls $1.50

      FLOP ($4) 3:club: T:spade: 5:heart:

      Hero bets $2.50, BB calls $2.50

      TURN ($9) 3:club: T:spade: 5:heart: Q:club:

      Hero bets $6.25, BB raises to $16.50, Hero raises to $45.50 (AI), BB folds

      Hero shows 8:club: 7:club:

      Hero wins $39.90

      villain is 20/15/2, 322 hands
      was having trouble working out whether our shove on the turn is likely to be profitable? if we give villain some Tx hands and Qx hands we have about 19% equity when called. However I think he can fold most of these hands (maybe not AQ?) to our shove since he rarely puts us on a flush draw and an overpair/set seems more likely.
      once we build in some pure air raises from him on the turn ( given that this is bvb and I will be 2nd barrelling a lot) I think it should be okay?

  • 2 replies
    • N0pr3s3n7
      Joined: 14.05.2009 Posts: 1,296
      I don't think he is raise/folding there with anything except bluff.He has enough equity to call whatever he has: KK/AA/set/2pairs and I doubt he is raising anything else.So nice bluff catched out there ;) .In most of the time i'd just call his raise and hope to hit one of my flushdraw outs for which i have equity and odds.Although we have some reverse outs such as Tc or 5c.So it's more about folding ?
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think generally your play is fine
      Hard to believe he has there too strong hand always and I think most people would not raise there AQ so it is often bluff or two pair+ hand and even if he has there set you still have 20% equity