[NL2-NL10] Think he will bluff the river if I check the turn?

    • happyteerak
      happyteerak
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.08.2010 Posts: 65
      ***** Hand History for Game 1111111111 ***** (Poker Stars)
      $10.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Wednesday, September 29, 04:28:01 ET 2010
      Table Ducrosa IV (Real Money)
      Seat 1 is the button
      Seat 1: Player1 ( $28.25 USD ) - VPIP: 36, PFR: 7, 3B: 5, AF: 1.0, Hands: 1046
      Seat 2: Player2 ( $8.66 USD ) - VPIP: 15, PFR: 7, 3B: 4, AF: 2.3, Hands: 61
      Seat 3: Player3 ( $22.32 USD ) - VPIP: 15, PFR: 2, 3B: 8, AF: 0.3, Hands: 41
      Seat 4: Player4 ( $2.90 USD ) - VPIP: 21, PFR: 6, 3B: 4, AF: 0.9, Hands: 175
      Seat 5: Player5 ( $42.70 USD ) - VPIP: 30, PFR: 12, 3B: 5, AF: 1.9, Hands: 162
      Seat 6: Player6 ( $17.62 USD ) - VPIP: 24, PFR: 11, 3B: 4, AF: 1.2, Hands: 102
      Seat 7: Player7 ( $21.66 USD ) - VPIP: 25, PFR: 5, 3B: 0, AF: 1.3, Hands: 201
      Seat 8: Player8 ( $7.84 USD ) - VPIP: 20, PFR: 7, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 30
      Seat 9: Hero ( $30.49 USD ) - VPIP: 25, PFR: 20, 3B: 5, AF: 3.7, Hands: 5778
      Player2 posts small blind [$0.05 USD].
      Player3 posts big blind [$0.10 USD].
      Player1 posts ante of [$0.02 USD].
      Player2 posts ante of [$0.02 USD].
      Player3 posts ante of [$0.02 USD].
      Player4 posts ante of [$0.02 USD].
      Player5 posts ante of [$0.02 USD].
      Player6 posts ante of [$0.02 USD].
      Player7 posts ante of [$0.02 USD].
      Player8 posts ante of [$0.02 USD].
      Hero posts ante of [$0.02 USD].
      ** Dealing down cards **
      Dealt to Hero [ Ah Ad ]
      Player4 calls [$0.10 USD]
      Player5 folds
      Player6 folds
      Player7 calls [$0.10 USD]
      Player8 folds
      Hero raises [$0.50 USD]
      Player1 folds
      Player2 folds
      Player3 folds
      Player4 calls [$0.40 USD]
      Player7 calls [$0.40 USD]
      ** Dealing Flop ** [ Ks, 7c, Qh ]
      Player4 checks
      Player7 checks
      Hero bets [$1.30 USD]
      Player4 folds
      Player7 calls [$1.30 USD]
      ** Dealing Turn ** [ As ]
      Player7 checks
      Hero bets [$3.70 USD]
      Player7 folds
      Hero wins $3.70 USD
      Hero wins $4.22 USD from main pot
  • 2 replies
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,


      I wouldn't take that chance. If he has Kx it's likely he calls all 3 streets if you make the river small enough, and since he looks rather passive we have no guarantee he would ever bluff the river, so I'd err on the side of valuebetting almost always. Bet smaller on the turn so that Qx might be tempted to call and Kx surely calls, then bet smallish on the river to make sure Kx can call.


      Hope it helps.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Do not bet 3.7 into 4.1 on the Turn if you want to let Kx call you. 55-60% pot is at max the best sizing

      One can also check back turn and raise River when he bets but I think 3 streets is the best method as Kx will mostly check/call on the River rather than lead out themself