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[NL20-NL50] NL25 - AA. Fold to river shove?

    • DecMate
      Joined: 25.01.2009 Posts: 1,422
      Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 961179
      The Official Hand History Converter

      MP1: $35.55
      Hero (MP2): $25.70
      CO: $29.49
      BTN: $24.65
      SB: $30.31
      BB: $25.00
      UTG: $27.16
      UTG+1: $25.80

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is MP2 with A :club: A :heart:
      2 folds, MP1 calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.25, 1 fold, BTN calls $1.25, 2 folds, MP1 calls $1

      Flop: ($4.10) 7 :diamond: 2 :club: 6 :club: (3 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $3, BTN calls $3, MP1 folds

      Turn: ($10.10) K :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.50, BTN calls $5.50

      River: ($21.10) T :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $14.90 all in, Hero folds

      Villian is 19/13 over 500+ hands.
      I'm not sure what to do on the river, if i bet i have to call a shove and i don't think he's calling with any 1pair hands.
  • 2 replies
    • TetraQuark
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,521

      What are his Agg factor and freq & 3b stats?

      One thing is for sure bet bigger turn, round 7-8$.

      If hes just calling AK pref, he could play it like that, especially since you make it seem like u let go of your hand on river by checking.
      River card is ugly and by his line looks like he just hit his oesd with 89, which is well in his range.
      Sucks to give half stack into the pot and than have to let go the river, but if you don`t have the reads that he likes to bluff with busted draws you must fold river. You only beat bluffs and AK.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I would bet 7$ on the turn and b/c turn, since pot is very big and he can shove turn as semibluff with draws
      I think you have to call river shove. Only hand that got there is 78 and he can have there missed flushdraws and unless he has there two pair+ I think he isn´t going to shove river so your aces should be good enough times to call him down