[NL2-NL10] Ako Nl10 fr Rush

    • franeczek
      Joined: 22.03.2009 Posts: 2,439
      Full Tilt Poker $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 965863
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      MP1: $3.80
      Hero (MP2): $10.10
      CO: $7.70
      BTN: $9.67
      SB: $18.53
      BB: $9.89
      UTG: $10.00
      UTG+1: $10.50
      UTG+2: $8.52

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is MP2 with A :spade: K :diamond:
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.35, 2 folds, SB calls $0.30, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.80) T :club: 8 :diamond: Q :spade: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, SB calls $0.50

      Turn: ($1.80) K :club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.20, SB calls $1.20

      River: ($4.20) A :diamond: (2 players)
      SB bets $4.20, Hero calls $4.20

      Villian is 25/17/1 after 13 hands no history with him. Should I fold river where there is 4-cards to straight with top two???
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      I would.

      He can't have anything that whiffed on the river except maybe backdoor clubs but he often has a pair to go with that which he'll try to see a showdown with, and if he happens to want to bet there with just two pairs regardless of the 4-straight board it usually needs to be exactly AQ or he'd have raised earlier.

      On the other hand his line fits perfectly with stuff like KJ/QJ/TJ that had a pair and a draw on the turn then got there on the river, he could also have taken that line with AJ for some reason.

      Too many Jx hands out there to warrant taking the chance that he's value-potting worse on such a scary board imo.

      Hope it helps.