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[NL2-NL10] NL5 SH 77 4-betting

    • justkyle88
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 7,613
      VPIP: 82 PFR: 45 AFq: 65 hands: 11
      PF3-bet: 25 F2 3-bet: N/A ATS: 75 F BBtosteal: 0 F SB to steal: N/A
      c-bet: 100 F to c-bet: 100 WTSD: 14 W$SD: 0
      donk: 0 squeeze: N/A c-r Flop: N/A limp/f: 0

      I know it's only 11 hands but these stats already show a fish + he has a 50bb stack. Can I 4-bet here for FE + he's wide range so far?

      PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      osu4life0627 (BB): $2.62
      poolking8 (UTG): $3.89
      MyNameTooLon (CO): $5.00
      justkyle88 (BTN): $5.00
      ivan show276 (SB): $8.02

      ivan show276 posts SB $0.02, osu4life0627 posts BB $0.05

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) justkyle88 has 7:diamond: 7:spade:

      poolking8 calls $0.05, fold, justkyle88 raises to $0.20, fold, osu4life0627 raises to $0.60, fold, justkyle88 raises to $3.55, osu4life0627 calls $2.02 and is all-in

      Flop: ($5.31, 2 players) A:diamond: 2:spade: Q:heart:

      Turn: ($5.31, 2 players) 6:diamond:

      River: ($5.31, 2 players) 5:heart:
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      I don't think you have that much fold equity against him because he just looks super crazy overall and he might call it off with whatever he 3bet to begin with. This works both ways tho: if he's calling it off super light, you're actually ahead of his going broke range with 77.

      Definitely high variance, but perfectly +ev, especially since just calling is horrible and laying down 77 to that guy will result in you playing very very few hands.

      Hope it helps.