[NL2-NL10] 55 folding set :(

    • franeczek
      Joined: 22.03.2009 Posts: 2,439
      Full Tilt Poker $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 971488
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $7.85
      BB: $20.51
      UTG: $9.55
      UTG+1: $15.38
      UTG+2: $3.32
      Hero (MP1): $15.71
      MP2: $8.70
      CO: $11.98
      BTN: $10.00

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is MP1 with 5 :spade: 5 :diamond:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.35, MP2 calls $0.35, 3 folds, BB calls $0.25

      Flop: ($1.10) J :diamond: 6 :spade: 8 :spade: (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks, MP2 checks

      Turn: ($1.10) 5 :heart: (3 players)
      BB bets $0.50, Hero raises to $1.70, MP2 folds, BB raises to $20.16, Hero folds

      Villian is 17/0/inf after 19 hands. His line looks extremly strong. we are both deep (efective stacks around 150bb). Should I still call here?? :f_confused:
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Super high variance call with barely any reads, short answer: who knows ;) The only thing we know for sure is that this guy is bad.

      Apparently he's more on the aggressive side. His line does look extremely strong but he could just be extremely spazzy. He could have stuff like J8/87/77 and maybe do that, he could have flatted QQ+ preflop and now be doing that "for value" since he doesn't know any better. Maybe if he really had the nuts he would make a min3bet or something. That would make it a snapcall.

      On the flip side, maybe the infinite AF is just a fluke at the moment and he's not aggressive/spazzy at all, hence wouldn't do that with draws/combo draws. Maybe he doesn't even slowplay QQ+ preflop to begin with or overplay two pairs on a board where straights are possible. Maybe he's just the type to jam the mortal nuts as soon as somebody looks interested, so we might be up against higher sets/straights only and be nearly toast.

      Hard to say. Something in me doesn't wanna fold this one for some reason, so I'd just go "whatever let's do it!" and call.

      Hope it helps.