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[NL20-NL50] NL25 FR AA Bet river Y/N?

    • Hajler
      Joined: 21.10.2008 Posts: 270
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($25)
      BB ($24.84)
      UTG ($25.83)
      Hero ($25)
      UTG+2 ($27.55)
      MP1 ($13.52)
      CO ($25.25)
      BTN ($25)

      Dealt to Hero A:spade: A:diamond:

      fold, Hero raises to $1, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.75

      FLOP ($2.10) 8:club: Q:diamond: A:club:

      BB checks, Hero bets $1.75, BB calls $1.75

      TURN ($5.60) 8:club: Q:diamond: A:club: 7:heart:

      BB checks, Hero bets $5, BB calls $5

      RIVER ($15.60) 8:club: Q:diamond: A:club: 7:heart: 6:club:

      BB checks, Hero checks

      BB shows 7:club: 3:club:
      (Pre 18%, Flop 24.6%, Turn 18.2%)

      Hero shows A:spade: A:diamond:
      (Pre 82%, Flop 75.4%, Turn 81.8%)

      BB wins $14.84


      I only had a few hands on villain, but from what I saw I had determined he was probably a bad player.

      My question is if checking behind on the river is going to cause me to lose out on value in the long run. The river card was pretty bad, and I happened to have been right this time, but I think a guy like this would call 3 barrels with anything. Should I just bet here, and if so how much would be ideal?

  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Flushdraws are big part of his c/c range and since you hold AA then it is not so likely he ahs there Ax himself and not really sure he would call 8$ valuebet with Qx and weaker hands, so check back is fine