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[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH ATo vs fish

    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($67.75)
      Hero ($55.95)
      UTG ($50)
      CO ($60.70)
      BTN ($55.90)

      Dealt to Hero T:club: A:heart:

      fold, CO calls $0.50, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2.50, CO calls $2

      FLOP ($5.25) 9:spade: J:heart: 7:spade:

      Hero bets $3.50, CO calls $3.50

      TURN ($12.25) 9:spade: J:heart: 7:spade: A:club:

      Hero bets $8.50, CO calls $8.50

      RIVER ($29.25) 9:spade: J:heart: 7:spade: A:club: T:spade:

      Hero checks, CO checks

      Hero wins $27.80

      villain is huge fish: 85/27/1, 50 hands. following reads before this hand: "min3b KK pre;
      wont fold any draw, or any pair; call 69o oop and donk 2nd pair 1/3 pt; minR 88 pre;"

      given stats and reads, I'm not sure whether we should even cb, since our feQ is v small. Once I hit on turn I plan on playing for stacks given reads and I think I should bet more on the turn ($10 maybe)? River is pretty ugly, since every draw got there. Should we bet/fold?

      on reflection, this seems best since villain is a fish and likes to see showdown. If I check he almost certainly only bets when he has us beat?

  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      with gutshot and overcard I think c-bet is fine, although board is very drawy
      Just he is not really going to raise there with draws, so i think you can c-bet profitable rather than c/f
      I think 8.5$ is fine bet size on the river and instead of c/f I would likely fo for value betting 12$ on the river. he has there a lot of two pair combos that would call us down and likely only raise with flushes