[NL20-NL50] Nl25 22

    • z1pz0r
      Joined: 12.08.2009 Posts: 981
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      MP2 (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 2, 2.
      Hero raises to $1.00, MP3 folds, CO calls $1.00, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($2.35) T, 2, 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.50, CO calls $1.50.

      Turn: ($5.35) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.00, CO calls $4.00.

      River: ($13.35) A (2 players)
      Hero bets $8.00, CO raises to $18.50(All-In), Hero calls $10.50.

      Final Pot: $50.35.

      Villan is 21/13 VP/PFR, with 29 WTS and 0,9 Aggr. factor. Fold to cbet 40% over 220 hands.
      Standard till river, where I get a strong feeling I'm behind. Should i bet small on river and fold to shove?
  • 3 replies
    • DecMate
      Joined: 25.01.2009 Posts: 1,371
      It's pretty close and i think you will be beat here but after you bet 8$ you have to call, if you think he could do this with AJ then a call is in order, also it's difficult because he doesn't raise you any streets but the river which looks more like AJ.
      I woulden't bet small on river, i think a check/call would be good tho if you think he won't shove anythin worse over you're bet.
    • N0pr3s3n7
      Joined: 14.05.2009 Posts: 1,296
      This flop is the perfect one for slow playing a set.I don't see why you think that he has to raise sets?ANY THINKING(not any good thinking) , ANY THINKING player will slow play set here.Of course he might show up with AT,AJ,JT so put it up together with KQ in the equalator and see what it says.

      You got 51 equity versus range of : 55,TT,JJ,AT,AJ,JT,KQ.If you think he won't do any kind of raise unless he has a real monster then we narrow his range to : 55,TT,AJ,JJ,KQ vs which you have 26% eq.You have to call roughly with 20% eq.So it's a call.

      Note. Somehow when you say "I feel i'm behind" I think I understand you because i have the same feelings in some situations like these versus TAGs because although their range seems an okey call here he is almost never going to have AJ so you are very often going to be beat always here.I don't mind a clear fold ONLY AGAINST such type of players which are super tight and quite passive with low agf.Also keep an eye on the table if he hasn't been struggling a lot this is a excl.mark that he has you beat there and although it's a mathematical call you have to fold.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I would played the same way
      He can maybe float with KQ, but also he may shove there AT/AJ and it seems quite good board you to barrel and he may feel that he now can´t call you down with 88 and decides to turn it into bluff