[NL20-NL50] nl50 Rush - 97o - trips on river 280bb deep

    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,872
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($160)
      BB ($17.50)
      UTG ($59.35)
      UTG+1 ($50)
      CO ($76.80)
      Hero ($141)

      Dealt to Hero 9:heart: 7:club:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.50, SB calls $1.25, fold

      FLOP ($3.50) 6:diamond: 3:spade: Q:diamond:

      SB checks, Hero bets $2, SB calls $2

      TURN ($7.50) 6:diamond: 3:spade: Q:diamond: 7:heart:

      SB checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($7.50) 6:diamond: 3:spade: Q:diamond: 7:heart: 7:spade:

      SB bets $7.50, Hero raises to $19.50, SB calls $12

      SB wins $44.20

      50/22/1, 19 hands, wts 29
      Actually I think we should fold pre perhaps, but BB is foldvs steal 80%, so its close.

      As played, cb looks ok to me. Once we're called, his range is mostly medium pps, Qx, :diamond: draws and maybe 45s, or 67s. {AdTd, Ad9d, Ad5d, Ad3d, KQs, KdJd, KdTd, Q8s+, JdTd, Td9d, 76s, 65s, 54s, KQo, Q8o+}

      No reason to bet on turn imo - we are behind above range, don't need to protect (hand is too weak) and can harldy get called by worse hand. We plan on check folding river vs passive opponent.

      River brings trips, and we can assume to be way ahead. When villain pots it, I think we mostly see good Qx (QJ+) although pot is alot once we check turn since our hand is not normally strong.

      So, how much to raise to? And what do we do if villain 3bs - fold, most likely?

      Not sure what range villain puts us on, but I would expect missed overcards or low pps since we dont continue on turn.
      thanks
  • 3 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I would raise river 25$
      he may bet pot with missed flushdraws, but maybe also with Qx hands that he would likely b/c, since you don´t really rep anything
      Since you´re deep I think river fold is fine, he is not trying to rebluff there smt like Qx or 88
      Also think pf raise is quite standard also check behind on the turn
    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,872
      Villain had 66; should he 3b the river do you think?
      Thanks
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by Tim64
      Villain had 66; should he 3b the river do you think?
      Thanks
      yeah, I´d 3-bet or shove there 66, since you´re not really checking back turn 77 or QQ or Q7
      And if he makes it 42$ I think you would call there at some times likely with trips