[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH Rush - Flopped 2nd nuts

    • StaticMoth
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BB (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K, J.
      MP2 raises to $0.35, MP3 calls $0.35, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.25.

      Flop: ($1.1) 7, 2, 6 (3 players)
      Hero checks, MP2 checks, MP3 bets $0.50, Hero raises to $1.50, MP2 folds, MP3 calls $1.00.

      Turn: ($4.1) 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.50, MP3 calls $2.50.

      River: ($9.1) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $7.00(All-In), MP3 folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $9.1.

      I'm always :f_confused: in regard to my river bet sizings with these kinds of hands to get max value.

      When he calls my c/r and 2nd barrel there, it shouldn't matter whether I bet $3 or $4 or shove there, right?

      I mean he either has a strong holding with which he will call any bet there OR he has A :diamond: x and he was folding to any bet on a blank river?

      Actually, strong holdings would've shoved at some earlier point in the hand anyway, so I should just bet maybe even as low as $1-3 to get a crying call from all sorts of random weak made hands?
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Obviously you're right about everything you said, depending on how villain plays.

      Personally I'd bet the turn bigger, because he does often have a lone diamond and that's the last street we can get value out of those hands before they whiff. So I'd bet closer to $3 on the turn. It also makes it easier for him to go broke on the river when he has less money left with whatever hand he peeled with.

      Hard to pick a line on the river since he's unknown and you have no idea whether he can bluff the river when checked to with AdX hands or not. I do agree that made flushes would usually have raised earlier tho since he's in position he could have slowplayed one to the end, it's mostly irrelevant tho, if he has a flush he'll always call a jam, jam when checked to and jam over a small bet.

      The problem with betting small is that he can't really have a weak made hand after opening from MP2, at worst he'll show up with something like TT with a diamond. So unless I feel like it's possible a smallish bet might induce a bluff-shove or something, I don't think it's usually worth it. So I like either jamming or checking to him if I really do feel he has Ax, the standard being to just jam like you did.

      Hope it helps.