[NL20-NL50] nl50 Rush - ATo - three barrel bluff

    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,401
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($86.55)
      BB ($85.05)
      UTG ($17.10)
      Hero ($52.30)
      CO ($34)
      BTN ($44.30)

      Dealt to Hero T:diamond: A:spade:

      fold, Hero raises to $1.75, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $1.25

      FLOP ($3.75) K:spade: 9:diamond: 2:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero bets $2.75, BB calls $2.75

      TURN ($9.25) K:spade: 9:diamond: 2:diamond: 7:spade:

      BB checks, Hero bets $7, BB calls $7

      RIVER ($23.25) K:spade: 9:diamond: 2:diamond: 7:spade: K:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero bets $18.50, BB calls $18.50

      villain 19/16/2/104 hands
      flop and turn look okay to me. I think my River bluff is probably a big mistake.
      Once he calls on the turn either he has a K or a flush draw in which case the River improves his hand. Furthermore if he didn't have a king but did not believe I had one, he is presumably even less likely to believe I have a king with two out there?

      Thanks
  • 4 replies
    • mrxLT
      mrxLT
      Silver
      Joined: 02.09.2008 Posts: 435
      Originally posted by Tim64
      flop and turn look okay to me. I think my River bluff is probably a big mistake.
      Once he calls on the turn either he has a K or a flush draw in which case the River improves his hand. Furthermore if he didn't have a king but did not believe I had one, he is presumably even less likely to believe I have a king with two out there?
      Thanks
      +1
      He should fold all 2nd pairs (QQ-TT, 88) on the turn, so its Kx and fds left. Its time to givup on the river.
    • Dublimax
      Dublimax
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      Originally posted by mrxLT
      Originally posted by Tim64
      flop and turn look okay to me. I think my River bluff is probably a big mistake.
      Once he calls on the turn either he has a K or a flush draw in which case the River improves his hand. Furthermore if he didn't have a king but did not believe I had one, he is presumably even less likely to believe I have a king with two out there?
      Thanks
      +1
      He should fold all 2nd pairs (QQ-TT, 88) on the turn, so its Kx and fds left. Its time to givup on the river.
      Agreed
    • Shevtshenko
      Shevtshenko
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.12.2009 Posts: 4,087
      Without history you're only repping flush or boat on river with your 3rd barrel. Don't know if villain is capable of giving up with a Kx on river, so the riverbet is propably -ev.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      yeah, river is easy check behind
      he mostly has there Kx and he isn´t going to fold trips to your river bet