# [NL20-NL50] NL25 FR playing combo draw

• Bronze
Joined: 11.07.2010
PT3 awarded villain with the bomb icon , his stats were 21/4/5.6. I put him on a small pair which has flopped the set. Frankly speaking I did not manage to count odds and outs properly, so calculations were something like along the lines "looks like a lot of outs and even if odds are not exactly in my favour they are still not bad", so I just went for it

I would really appreciate if someone could write down the exact odds&outs for this one. I kinda calculated them myself, but not so sure about the results...

\$0.15/\$0.25 No Limit Holdem
Everest Poker
9 Players

Stacks:
UTG (\$26.42)
UTG+1 (\$25.65)
MP1 (\$50.75)
Hero (\$29.90)
MP3 (\$30.15)
CO (\$39.30)
BTN (\$28.05)
SB (\$14.15)
BB (\$38)

Pre-Flop: (\$0.40, 9 players) Hero is MP2 8 7
3 folds, Hero raises to \$1, 2 folds, BTN calls \$1, 1 fold, BB calls \$0.75

Flop: 6 4 10 (\$3.15, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets \$1.75, BTN raises to \$8.40, BB folds, Hero calls \$6.65

Turn: Q (\$19.95, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN goes all-in \$18.65, Hero goes all-in \$20.50
• 5 replies
• Bronze
Joined: 09.12.2009
9+3 outs?
i would shove on the flop. And pray.
• Bronze
Joined: 13.07.2008
Hi,

pre: Fine.
flop: You hit the nuts: Straight+FD => Shove flop.
Reason: You have often 9 spade outs + doublebellybuster outs (3x 9 + 3x 5)= 9+6=15 outs.
Even against a set you have decent equity. (I don't have an equilator, but I guess sth. like 40-42%)
Against just the nutflush draw you do fine as well.
Against 1 pair/overpair type of hands you have approx. 15*4=60% equity.
Even if you have 0 fold equity your play is +ev.

To call flop and to ch/c turn is horrible, as you decrease your own equity.
Reason: On turn you have to call 18,65\$ to win 38,60\$ (=18,65+19,95). You need 18,65/(18,65+38,60))= 32,6% equity.
On turn you have 15 outs*2 = 30% equity.
=> Fold.

Best regards,
Anin
• Bronze
Joined: 11.07.2010
It looks like the terrible downswing I was having last few days have affected my decisions not the best way... I am trying to control the pot and not doing it right...
• Bronze
Joined: 09.12.2009
Right. I forgot abt the 5 for a straight. So its 9+3+3 outs. Easy shove any day.
Don't forget bankroll management, if u have something like 30 buyins, u will feel more confident and just shove without breaking a sweat.
• Bronze
Joined: 02.02.2007
Originally posted by AninIII
Hi,

pre: Fine.
flop: You hit the nuts: Straight+FD => Shove flop.
Reason: You have often 9 spade outs + doublebellybuster outs (3x 9 + 3x 5)= 9+6=15 outs.
Even against a set you have decent equity. (I don't have an equilator, but I guess sth. like 40-42%)
Against just the nutflush draw you do fine as well.
Against 1 pair/overpair type of hands you have approx. 15*4=60% equity.
Even if you have 0 fold equity your play is +ev.

To call flop and to ch/c turn is horrible, as you decrease your own equity.
Reason: On turn you have to call 18,65\$ to win 38,60\$ (=18,65+19,95). You need 18,65/(18,65+38,60))= 32,6% equity.
On turn you have 15 outs*2 = 30% equity.
=> Fold.

Best regards,
Anin
+1
and since he is also sometimes bluffing, so you take pot down without showdown , so I´d also shove there