[NL20-NL50] nl50 Rush - KTs - fh facing big river overbet

    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,400
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($88.55)
      BB ($61.65)
      UTG ($131)
      UTG+1 ($75.30)
      CO ($56.10)
      BTN ($68.05)

      Dealt to Hero T:spade: K:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2, BB calls $1.50

      FLOP ($4) T:diamond: T:club: A:club:

      Hero bets $2, BB calls $2

      TURN ($8) T:diamond: T:club: A:club: 6:spade:

      Hero checks, BB bets $6.50, Hero calls $6.50

      RIVER ($21) T:diamond: T:club: A:club: 6:spade: 6:heart:

      Hero checks, BB bets $51.15 (AI), Hero calls $51.15

      villain 41/28/1 wtsd 28, 3b 14%, 69 hands.

      Is this an easy call despite the poor odds? We are beaten only by AT (3 combos), 66 (1 combo), and AA (3 combos), where as we split with all other Tx hands and beat all Ax hands if villain dumb enough to play it that way.

      edit: as for why no valuebet on turn, I think we get more value from bluffs from villain's floating range in general, especially since villain can rep the Tx once we show weakness by checking.
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