[NL20-NL50] nl50 Rush - AA - set on turn

    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,401
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($20.50)
      BB ($22.80)
      Hero ($76.05)
      UTG+1 ($31.70)
      CO ($50)
      BTN ($104)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: A:heart:

      Hero raises to $1.75, fold, fold, BTN calls $1.75, fold, fold

      FLOP ($4.25) 9:heart: 6:spade: 4:diamond:

      Hero bets $2.50, BTN calls $2.50

      TURN ($9.25) 9:heart: 6:spade: 4:diamond: A:spade:

      Hero bets $6.50, BTN calls $6.50

      RIVER ($22.25) 9:heart: 6:spade: 4:diamond: A:spade: 5:diamond:

      [color=red]Hero bets $??

      villain reg 21/16/1 wts 37, 174 hs.

      On turn, I dont think we can bet more as the Ace will be a scare card in general (or maybe we should maximise by betting big to look like a bluff?).
      Once villain calls turn, any thoughts on his range? (I am unsure, but I guess since he called, either TT-KK that don't believe I have Ax, or sets - usually raising turn? - or AJ+, or 78s perhaps)
      What bet size should we be aiming for on river vs above range?
      Are we planning on folding to a large raise (i.e. vs 78s)?

      Thanks
  • 3 replies
    • AninIII
      AninIII
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.07.2008 Posts: 944
      Hi,

      I'd bet 14$ against sets and maybe call a normal raise (3x) but no shove this deep.
      Reason: He can think he valueraises lower sets.

      Best regards,
      Anin
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by AninIII
      Hi,

      I'd bet 14$ against sets and maybe call a normal raise (3x) but no shove this deep.
      Reason: He can think he valueraises lower sets.

      Best regards,
      Anin
      +1
      sounds reasonable to b/c river. I think i can´t really fold to shove but mostly it is going to be smt like 42$ or so if he decides to raise your river bet
    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,401
      Thanks. I bet $13 and he called with AQ.