[NL2-NL10] 5nl - AKo UTg

    • psydreamer
      Joined: 24.01.2010 Posts: 88
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($4.66)
      BB ($1.75)
      Hero ($5)
      UTG+1 ($1.89)
      UTG+2 ($2.77)
      MP1 ($5.05) vpip:17/pfr:14/af:41 172 hands
      CO ($5.35)
      BTN ($3.98)

      Dealt to Hero A:heart: K:diamond:

      Hero raises to $0.20, fold, fold, MP1 calls $0.20, fold, fold, SB calls $0.18, fold

      FLOP ($0.65) A:club: Q:diamond: 3:diamond:

      SB checks, Hero bets $0.40, MP1 raises to $1.30, SB folds, Hero calls $0.90

      TURN ($3.25) A:club: Q:diamond: 3:diamond: K:heart:

      Hero bets $2.25, MP1 raises to $3.55 (AI), Hero calls $1.25 (AI)

      RIVER ($10.25) A:club: Q:diamond: 3:diamond: K:heart: 6:club:

      sick of this shit :f_frown:
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Same old story. Is the nitty guy in MP1 capable of raising less than AQ on the AQ3 2t flop against c-bet after we open-raised UTG, while sandwiched in a 3-way pot?


      Short answer

      No, pitch it on the flop.

      Long answer

      If he's a real nit he has you smoked pretty much always, unless maybe he has combodraws like JdTd, tho you having the Kd blocks some of the combodraws he could have, making it more likely he just has AQ/33. So you're flipping against some combodraws, ~4-outing (some backdoors) against AQ, ~2-outing (backdoors) against 33.

      If he's not a real nit, he might raise simple flushdraws sometimes on top of all that, but since he's sandwiched 3-way it's not that likely. Even if in that case, he still has a lot of equity when behind while you're still pretty much dead when he's ahead.

      So the overall picture is still pretty bleak for you. Coupled with the fact that we always tend to overestimate how much random tags are bluffing because we instinctively don't like to fold, I'd say it's routine fold full ring barring further reads.


      As played on the turn you don't have a choice, you're still ahead of most of what you needed to put him on on the flop to justify not folding plus you beat AQ, hence you're going broke one way or another.

      Hope it helps.