[NL20-NL50] Flop FH river fold?

    • Dublimax
      Dublimax
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      iPoker - €0.50 NL - Holdem - 4 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      Hero (BB): €49.25
      UTG: €50.50 VP:25/PR:18/CBet:65%/River AggF:1.56
      BTN: €93.89
      SB: €53.84

      SB posts SB €0.25, Hero posts BB €0.50

      Pre Flop: (€0.75) Hero has 6:club: 6:spade:

      UTG raises to €1.75, fold, fold, Hero calls €1.25

      Flop: (€3.75, 2 players) 7:heart: 7:club: 6:diamond:
      Hero checks, UTG bets €2.50, Hero raises to €6.00, UTG calls €3.50

      Turn: (€15.75, 2 players) K:diamond:
      Hero checks, UTG checks

      River: (€15.75, 2 players) A:heart:
      Hero bets €8.50, UTG raises to €29.50, Hero calls €21.00

      My C/R on the flop means that I have 66+. He called my C/R with probably 77+.
      Do you think He can raise river with anything else than KK+ here? I don't think so. River fold then?
  • 4 replies
    • AninIII
      AninIII
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.07.2008 Posts: 944
      Hi,

      ch/r on paired board doesn't necessarily mean 66...
      I'd bet turn to 9$ and bet/call river.
      As played: You can never ever fold on river given you checked on turn.
      Ofc villain can have 76 (very unllikely), A7 (unlikely), KK (slowplayed) and AA, BUT he can think, that you are weak, given you checked.
      And now he can raise some random 7x for value, f.e. 87s.

      nh! What did he have?

      Best regards,
      Anin
    • Dublimax
      Dublimax
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      Originally posted by AninIII
      ch/r on paired board doesn't necessarily mean 66...
      I think it is fair to put me on 66+ (not just 66)

      Originally posted by AninIII
      BUT he can think, that you are weak, given you checked.
      In fact that's why I C the turn to get some more money on the river.

      Originally posted by AninIII
      And now he can raise some random 7x for value, f.e. 87s.
      Now that I rethink about it if he is aggro He could indeed raise with 7x (eventhough I wouldn't myself).
      Ok so he could raise with 76,78 (that's it for the 7x since he open raise from UTG) KK and AA. I have to call 21 to win 53 (40%). I still think the river call is not good.

      PS: he had KK
    • falcone1983
      falcone1983
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.05.2009 Posts: 5,420
      If he's any good, he can also have a hand like 88-TT that he's turning into a bluff on the river (to try to get you to fold an overpair to the flop or an Ace, both of which you can easily have given your line).
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think you played it fine
      I can´t really b/f river with your boat, since it is hard him to put on KK/AA or A7. he may sometimes raise river with worse 7x hands, although I won´t surprise if you also see there QQ/JJ turning his hand into bluff