	{"id":20158,"date":"2009-11-24T11:37:00","date_gmt":"2009-11-24T11:37:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pokerstrategy.com\/hu\/strategy\/736\/"},"modified":"2026-06-09T08:13:46","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T08:13:46","slug":"736","status":"publish","type":"strategy","link":"https:\/\/www.pokerstrategy.com\/hu\/strategy\/weekly-sng\/736\/","title":{"rendered":"Egy ICM d\u00f6nt\u00e9s"},"content":{"rendered":"<?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><h1>Egy ICM d&ouml;nt&eacute;s<\/h1><table width=\"100%\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-bottom: 0px solid #ffffff\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/\/www.pokerstrategy.com\/download\/psmag\/bilder\/bild_kolumne.jpg\" width=\"100%\">\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"psMagtablehead1\">\n\t\t\t&raquo; CIKK\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><h1 style=\"color: #d5002d;margin-top: 24px;margin-bottom: 6px;padding-bottom: 0pt\" align=\"justify\">Egy ICM d&ouml;nt&eacute;s<\/h1><div align=\"justify\">\n<\/div><p style=\"margin: 0pt;padding: 0pt 0pt 18px\" align=\"justify\">\n<i>K&eacute;sz&iacute;tette: Unam<\/i>\n<\/p><p>A k&ouml;vetkez&#337; leoszt&aacute;s a n&eacute;met f&oacute;rumban hossz&uacute; ideig a vita t&aacute;rgy&aacute;t k&eacute;pezte. Kev&eacute;sb&eacute; van arr&oacute;l sz&oacute;, hogy lesz&#369;k&iacute;ts&uuml;k az ellenf&eacute;l k&eacute;zsk&aacute;l&aacute;j&aacute;t, hanem sokkal ink&aacute;bb arr&oacute;l, hogy az ICM seg&iacute;ts&eacute;g&eacute;vel milyen d&ouml;nt&eacute;st hozunk.<\/p><h1 style=\"color: #d5002d;margin-top: 24px;margin-bottom: 6px;padding-bottom: 0pt\" align=\"justify\"><font size=\"3\">A leoszt&aacute;s<\/font><\/h1><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\nUTG+1 (2370)\n<\/p><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\nUTG+2 (3020) Ismeretlen\n<\/p><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\nMP1 (1600)\n<\/p><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\nMP2 (1660)\n<\/p><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\nMP3 (1090) Regul&aacute;r\n<\/p><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\nCO (3090)\n<\/p><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\nBU (1870)\n<\/p><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\nHero (2000)\n<\/p><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\nBB (3300)\n<\/p><p><\/p><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\nNo-Limit Hold'em Tournament ($55),<br>\nBlinds 100\/200 (9 handed)<\/p><p>Preflop: Hero is SB with A<b> <\/b><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/smileys\/club.png\">, K<br>\n<b><br>\n<\/b><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/smileys\/club.png\"><\/p><p>UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to 400, 2<br>\nfolds, MP3 raises to 1090 (All-In), 2 folds, Hero?<\/p><p>Mivel nem ismerj&uuml;k az UTG+2 j&aacute;t&eacute;kost, ez&eacute;rt a k&ouml;vetkez&#337; k&eacute;zsk&aacute;l&aacute;ra tessz&uuml;k 22+, A7s+, KTs+, QJs, A7o+, KTo+, Qjo, ezzel a k&eacute;zsk&aacute;l&aacute;val gyeng&eacute;bb j&aacute;t&eacute;kosok gyakran &iacute;gy j&aacute;tszanak egy ilyen szitu&aacute;ci&oacute;ban. Kiindulhatunk abb&oacute;l, hogy gyenge a j&aacute;t&eacute;kos, mivel a minimum emel&eacute;s semmilyen k&eacute;zzel nem j&oacute; j&aacute;t&eacute;k. <\/p><p>Az MP3 egy regul&aacute;r &eacute;s nyer&#337; j&aacute;t&eacute;kos, teh&aacute;t kiindulhatunk abb&oacute;l, hogy feszes a k&eacute;zsk&aacute;l&aacute;ja &eacute;s mivel kisz&aacute;ll&aacute;si r&eacute;szesed&eacute;s n&eacute;lk&uuml;l pushol, ez&eacute;rt biztos j&oacute; keze van &eacute;s ebben a helyzetben sohasem bl&ouml;ff&ouml;l.<\/p><p>Ez azt jelenti, mivel annyira short ez&eacute;rt nyeres&eacute;gesen pusholhat. <\/p><p>Amennyiben Hero AK lapokkal pushol, akkor az UTG kisz&aacute;ll a k&eacute;zsk&aacute;l&aacute;j&aacute;nak gyeng&eacute;bbik r&eacute;sz&eacute;vel, teh&aacute;t t&ouml;bb lehet&#337;s&eacute;g van a k&eacute;z alakul&aacute;sa tekintet&eacute;ben.\n<\/p><h1 style=\"color: #d5002d;margin-top: 24px;margin-bottom: 6px;padding-bottom: 0pt\" align=\"justify\">ZsetonEV sz&aacute;m&iacute;t&aacute;s<\/h1><h1 style=\"color: #d5002d;margin-top: 24px;margin-bottom: 6px;padding-bottom: 0pt\" align=\"justify\"><font size=\"2\">1. eset<\/font><\/h1><p>Ha UTG+2 kisz&aacute;ll, akkor Hero MP3 poz&iacute;ci&oacute;b&oacute;l 2780 zsetonnyi pot&eacute;rt j&aacute;tszik, amit megnyer az esetek 60%-&aacute;ban. <\/p><p>Hero v&aacute;rhat&oacute; &eacute;rt&eacute;ke teh&aacute;t 0.6*(2780 - 990) - 0.4*990 = 678; ez Hero zseton nyeres&eacute;ge. <\/p><p>Figyelembe kell venni, hogy Hero SB-ben van &eacute;s csak 990-et kell fizetnie.&nbsp;<\/p><h1 style=\"color: #d5002d;margin-top: 24px;margin-bottom: 6px;padding-bottom: 0pt\" align=\"justify\"><font><font size=\"2\">2. eset<\/font><\/font><\/h1><p>Mivel az UTG+2 minimum emel&eacute;s&eacute;t k&ouml;vet&#337;en kiindulhatunk abb&oacute;l, hogy gyenge j&aacute;t&eacute;kos, nagyj&aacute;b&oacute;l ugyanazzal a k&eacute;zsk&aacute;l&aacute;val fog overcallt csin&aacute;lni, amivel MP pushol, teh&aacute;t 88+, ATs+, KQs, ATo+, KQo. <\/p><p>Ebb&#337;l egy 5290-es &ouml;sszpot alakul ki, amit mindk&eacute;t ellenf&eacute;llel szemben megnyer&uuml;nk az esetek 40%-&aacute;ban, teh&aacute;t a v&aacute;rhat&oacute; &eacute;rt&eacute;k aszerint, hogy mindk&eacute;t j&aacute;t&eacute;kost megverj&uuml;k 0.4* (5290 - 1900) - 0.3*1900 - 0.3*990 = 516. <\/p><p>Az esetek 30%-&aacute;ban nyer az MP3, ilyenkor egy sidepot&eacute;rt j&aacute;tszunk az UTG+1 j&aacute;t&eacute;kossal. A sidepot m&eacute;rete 1820 (a marad&eacute;k let&eacute;t&uuml;nk 910 * 2). <\/p><p>Ennek a v&aacute;rhat&oacute; &eacute;rt&eacute;ke 0.6* (1820 - 910) - 0.4*910 = 182. <\/p><p>Ezek a sz&aacute;m&iacute;t&aacute;sok csak a zsetonEV-re vonatkoznak &eacute;s mindegyik +EV, viszont nem a zsetonEV-t, hanem a $EV-t akarjuk maximaliz&aacute;lni.&nbsp;<\/p><h1 style=\"color: #d5002d;margin-top: 24px;margin-bottom: 6px;padding-bottom: 0pt\" align=\"justify\">$EV sz&aacute;m&iacute;t&aacute;s<\/h1><h1>\n<\/h1><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\nEmiatt sz&aacute;moljunk az ICM kalkul&aacute;torral, ehhez sz&uuml;ks&eacute;g van az adott eset let&eacute;tm&eacute;reteire:&nbsp;\n<\/p><h1 style=\"color: #d5002d;margin-top: 24px;margin-bottom: 6px;padding-bottom: 0pt\" align=\"justify\"><font><font size=\"2\">1. eset<\/font><\/font><\/h1><p><b><br>\na) MP3 nyer <\/b><br>\nUTG+1: 2620 zseton 0.1270 ICM Equity <br>\nMP3: 2780 zseton 0.1337 ICM Equity <br>\nHero: 910 zseton 0.0475 ICM Equity <\/p><p>\n<br>\n<b>b) Hero nyer <\/b><br>\nUTG+1: 2620 zseton 0.1285 ICM Equity <br>\nMP3: 0 zseton 0 ICM Equity <br>\nHero: 3690 zseton 0.1716 ICM Equity\n<\/p><h1 style=\"color: #d5002d;margin-top: 24px;margin-bottom: 6px;padding-bottom: 0pt\" align=\"justify\"><font><font size=\"2\">2. eset<\/font><\/font><br>\n<\/h1><p><b><br>\na) Hero mindent megnyer <\/b><br>\nUTG+1: 1020 zseton 0.1362 ICM Equity <br>\nMP3: 0 zseton 0 ICM Equity <br>\nHero: 5290 zseton 0.2295 ICM Equity <\/p><p>\n<br>\n<b>b) MP3 nyer &eacute;s Hero nyer UTG+1 j&aacute;t&eacute;kossal szemben <\/b><br>\nUTG+1: 1020 zseton 0.0531 ICM Equity <br>\nMP3: 3470 zseton 0.1617 ICM Equity <br>\nHero: 1820 zseton 0.0917 ICM Equity <\/p><p><b>c) UTG nyer, Hero ICM Equity 0 lesz&nbsp;<\/b>\n<\/p><h1 style=\"color: #d5002d;margin-top: 24px;margin-bottom: 6px;padding-bottom: 0pt\" align=\"justify\">A k&uuml;l&ouml;nb&ouml;z&#337; r&eacute;szesed&eacute;sek s&uacute;lyoz&aacute;sa<\/h1><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\nAmennyiben s&uacute;lyozzuk az ICM r&eacute;szesed&eacute;seket a val&oacute;sz&iacute;n&#369;s&eacute;gekkel, akkor a k&ouml;vetkez&#337; eredm&eacute;nyeket kapjuk:\n<\/p><h2>\n<\/h2><h1 style=\"color: #d5002d;margin-top: 24px;margin-bottom: 6px;padding-bottom: 0pt\" align=\"justify\"><font><font><font><font size=\"2\">1. eset<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/h1><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\nAz esetek 50%-&aacute;ban, mivel a kezeinek kb. 50%-&aacute;val m&eacute;g kisz&aacute;ll\n<\/p><p>0.0475*0.4 + 0.1716*0.6 = 0.122&nbsp;<\/p><h2>\n<\/h2><h1 style=\"color: #d5002d;margin-top: 24px;margin-bottom: 6px;padding-bottom: 0pt\" align=\"justify\"><font><font><font><font size=\"2\">2. eset<\/font><\/font><\/font><\/font><\/h1><p>Az esetek marad&eacute;k 50%-&aacute;ban <br>\n0.4*0.2295 + 0.3*(0.6*0.0917 + 0.4*0) + 0.3*0 = 0.108 <\/p><p>Most m&aacute;r csak s&uacute;lyoznunk kell a k&eacute;t esetet egym&aacute;s ellen, mint m&aacute;r eml&iacute;tett&uuml;k mindk&eacute;t eset 50%-ban l&eacute;p fel. <\/p><p>0.5*0.122 + 0.5*0.108 = 0.115 <\/p><p>Ennyi lesz a $Equitynk, ha overpusholunk, ahhoz viszont hogy eld&ouml;nts&uuml;k, +EV lesz-e, ki kell sz&aacute;molnunk azt az esetet, ha Hero kisz&aacute;ll. <\/p><p><b>MP3 nyer az esetek 58,5%-&aacute;ban: <\/b><br>\nUTG+2: 1930 zseton 0.0961 <br>\nMP3: 2480 zseton 0.1205 <br>\nHero: 1900 zseton 0.0947 <\/p><p>\n<br>\n<b>UTG+2 nyer 41,5%-ban: <\/b><br>\nUTG+2: 4410 zseton 0.1985 <br>\nMP3: 0 zseton 0 <br>\nHero: 1900 zseton 0.0969<\/p><p>Az eg&eacute;sznek a s&uacute;lyoz&aacute;sa a val&oacute;sz&iacute;n&#369;s&eacute;gekkel a k&ouml;vetkez&#337; eredm&eacute;nyt jelenti Hero sz&aacute;m&aacute;ra: 0.585*0.0947 + 0.415*0.0969 = 0.0956\n<\/p><h1 style=\"color: #d5002d;margin-top: 24px;margin-bottom: 6px;padding-bottom: 0pt\" align=\"justify\">Az eredm&eacute;ny<\/h1><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\n&nbsp;\n<\/p><p>Teh&aacute;t: <\/p><p>Equity Push = 0.108 <br>\nEquity Fold = 0.0956 <\/p><p>K&uuml;l&ouml;nbs&eacute;g = 0.0124 vagy 1.24% &eacute;s ha egy 55$ SnG-r&#337;l besz&eacute;l&uuml;nk 500$-os d&iacute;jalappal, akkor egy kisz&aacute;ll&aacute;s 6.2$-ba fog ker&uuml;lni nek&uuml;nk.<\/p><p style=\"margin-bottom: 0in\">\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Unam ez\u00fattal egy olyan k\u00e9z elemz\u00e9s\u00e9t mutatja be nek\u00fcnk, amely a n\u00e9met f\u00f3rumban rengeteg vit\u00e1t kiv\u00e1ltott.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":""},"strategy_category":[41],"strategy_level":[119],"class_list":["post-20158","strategy","type-strategy","status-publish","hentry","strategy_category-sit-and-goes"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - 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