	{"id":41110,"date":"2024-12-08T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-08T11:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pokerstrategy.com\/pl\/pokerowe-teorie-gto-prawo-littlewooda\/"},"modified":"2026-03-03T19:30:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T19:30:22","slug":"pokerowe-teorie-gto-prawo-littlewooda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pokerstrategy.com\/pl\/news\/world-of-poker\/Pokerowe-Teorie-GTO-Prawo-Littlewooda_133618\/","title":{"rendered":"Pokerowe Teorie GTO - Prawo Littlewooda"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><p><br>\n<br>\n<\/p><br><br><body>\n<figure itemscope=\"\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\" class=\"modulRight\"><img decoding=\"async\" itemprop=\"image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/2024\/12\/05\/artworks-000107720697-qaqy72-t500x500.jpg\" alt=\"Jamie Gold\" title=\"\"><figcaption itemprop=\"caption\">Cuda zdarzaj&#261; si&#281; na okr&#261;g&#322;o<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><i>Jedn&#261; z fantastycznych rzeczy, jak&#261; zauwa&#380;y&#322;em po latach styczno&#347;ci z pokerem, jest to, &#380;e dzi&#281;ki niemu mo&#380;na nauczy&#263; si&#281; wiele z innych dziedzin, takich jak AI, ekonomika, teoria gier czy psychologia. Stworzy&#322;em wi&#281;c seri&#281; artyku&#322;&oacute;w o zagadnieniach spoza pokera, kt&oacute;re mo&#380;na skutecznie adaptowa&#263; w naszej ulubionej grze.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Prawo Littlewooda zosta&#322;o stworzone przez Johna Littlewooda z Uniwersytetu Cambridge. Stanowi ono, &#380;e &#8203;&#8203;to, co ludzie <strong>uwa&#380;aj&#261; za cuda, w rzeczywisto&#347;ci jest powszechne, je&#347;li we&#378;mie si&#281; pod uwag&#281;, jak wiele rzeczy dzieje si&#281; w &#380;yciu danej osoby<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Freeman Dyson t&#322;umaczy to w ten spos&oacute;b:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Prawo cud&oacute;w Littlewooda zak&#322;ada, &#380;e &#8203;&#8203;w ci&#261;gu &#380;ycia ka&#380;dego normalnego cz&#322;owieka cuda zdarzaj&#261; si&#281; mniej wi&#281;cej raz na miesi&#261;c. Dow&oacute;d tego prawa jest prosty. W czasie, gdy nie &#347;pimy i aktywnie anga&#380;ujemy si&#281; w &#380;ycie, mniej wi&#281;cej przez osiem godzin dziennie, z cz&#281;stotliwo&#347;ci&#261; mniej wi&#281;cej raz na sekund&#281; widzimy i s&#322;yszymy, jak co&#347; si&#281; dzieje. Tym samym ca&#322;kowita liczba wydarze&#324;, kt&oacute;re nam si&#281; przytrafiaj&#261;, wynosi oko&#322;o 30 000 dziennie, czyli oko&#322;o milion miesi&#281;cznie. Z nielicznymi wyj&#261;tkami wydarzenia te nie s&#261; cudami, poniewa&#380; s&#261; nieistotne. Szansa na cud wynosi oko&#322;o jeden na milion. W&#322;a&#347;nie dlatego powinni&#347;my spodziewa&#263; si&#281; &#347;rednio jednego cudu w miesi&#261;cu.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Mo&#380;na to &#322;atwo wyt&#322;umaczy&#263; zbiegami okoliczno&#347;ci. My&#347;lisz o starym przyjacielu, kt&oacute;rego nie widzia&#322;e&#347; od lat, a potem wpadasz na niego jeszcze tego samego popo&#322;udnia. Niekt&oacute;rym wydaje si&#281; to cudem, ale dzieje si&#281; tak dlatego, &#380;e lekcewa&#380;&#261; tysi&#261;ce przypadk&oacute;w, w kt&oacute;rych co&#347; takiego nie mia&#322;o miejsca.<\/p>\n<h2>Upswingi i downswingi<\/h2>\n<p>Oczywist&#261; analogi&#261; do pokera s&#261; tutaj szalone serie szcz&#281;&#347;liwych i pechowych run&oacute;w, kt&oacute;re obserwujemy ca&#322;y czas.<\/p>\n<p>Uwa&#380;amy, &#380;e jeste&#347;my przekl&#281;ci, poniewa&#380; wpadamy karet&#261; pod pokera, ale pomijamy fakt, &#380;e ka&#380;dego dnia rozgrywane s&#261; miliony pokerowych rozda&#324;. Komu&#347;, gdzie&#347;, kiedy&#347; musi si&#281; to przydarzy&#263;.<\/p>\n<p>Aby to zobaczy&#263;, wystarczy spojrze&#263; na pokerowy wykres. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pokerstrategy.com\/pl\/news\/content\/132582\/\">Pisa&#322;em o tym niedawno<\/a>, poni&#380;ej wykres Aarona Barone&rsquo;a z wysokich stawek PokerStars:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"modulFull\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn-origin.pokerstrategy.com\/2024\/09\/05\/Screenshot_2024-09-05_133935.png\" alt=\"poker\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" caption=\"false\"><figcaption>Chory wykres!<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Przez oko&#322;o 15 000 gier niewiele si&#281; dzieje, potem jest okres, w kt&oacute;rym m&oacute;g&#322; zak&#322;ada&#263;, &#380;e pokerowi bogowie go nienawidz&#261;, ale jeszcze dalej nastaje czas, w kt&oacute;rym mo&#380;e my&#347;le&#263;, &#380;e w poprzednim &#380;yciu zrobi&#322; co&#347; bardzo dobrego. Jest tu kilka szalonych waha&#324;, ale wi&#281;kszo&#347;&#263; wykres&oacute;w wygrywaj&#261;cych na wysokich stawkach graczy tak wygl&#261;da.<\/p>\n<p>Na pocz&#261;tku tego roku <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pokerstrategy.com\/pl\/news\/article\/221610-winamax-player-wins-third-expresso-jackpot\">gracz Lottery SNG skompletowa&#322; trzy jackpoty w ci&#261;gu dw&oacute;ch lat<\/a> i zarobi&#322; 2,5 miliona euro. Wydaje si&#281;, &#380;e albo by&#322; to cud, albo zosta&#322;o to jako&#347; ustawione.<\/p>\n<p>Rzeczywisto&#347;&#263; jest taka, &#380;e &#8203;&#8203;w ci&#261;gu ostatniej dekady na wszystkich stronach rozegrano miliardy turniej&oacute;w Lottery SnG. W pewnym momencie kto&#347; gdzie&#347; \"musia&#322;\" wygra&#263; kilka jackpot&oacute;w.<\/p>\n<p>Pocieszaj&#261;ca jest my&#347;l, &#380;e jeste&#347; pokerowo b&#322;ogos&#322;awiony lub przekl&#281;ty, w zale&#380;no&#347;ci od tego, jak ci aktualnie idzie, poniewa&#380; daje ci to wym&oacute;wk&#281;, aby nie stara&#263; si&#281; bardziej. Rzeczywisto&#347;&#263; jest o wiele bardziej nudna, rozgrywasz setki tysi&#281;cy rozda&#324;, mo&#380;e nawet miliony, a od czasu do czasu runnujesz w spos&oacute;b, o kt&oacute;rym nie my&#347;la&#322;e&#347; nawet, &#380;e jest w og&oacute;le mo&#380;liwy.<\/p>\n<p><i>Jakie teorie spoza pokera pomog&#322;y twojej grze? Daj nam zna&#263; w komentarzu<\/i><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n<p><br>\n<\/p>\n<\/body>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>To by\u0142by cud, gdyby cuda si\u0119 nie zdarza\u0142y. Pami\u0119taj o tym, gdy nast\u0119pnym razem b\u0119dziesz na downswingu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":41111,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41110","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-world-of-poker"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pokerowe Teorie GTO - Prawo Littlewooda - PokerStrategy PL<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.pokerstrategy.com\/pl\/news\/world-of-poker\/Pokerowe-Teorie-GTO-Prawo-Littlewooda_133618\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pl_PL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pokerowe Teorie GTO - Prawo Littlewooda - PokerStrategy PL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"To by\u0142by cud, gdyby cuda si\u0119 nie zdarza\u0142y. 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