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Concepts: Semi-Bluffs - Theory & Practice
IntroductionIn this article
- The mathematical background of semi-bluffs
- The practice application of semi-bluffs
- When they are worthwhile, even on the river
With a semi-bluff, we are trying to maximise our expected profit by combining fold equity and hand strength.
In this article we will discuss the mathematical foundations of semi-bluffs using examples, and explain the conditions where they are suitable at a poker table.
Pre-flop: Hero is MP2 with A , Q
4 folds, Hero raises, 4 folds, BB calls
Flop: (4,5 SB) T , 7 , 2 (2 players)
BB bets, Hero calls
Turn: (3,25 BB) J (2 players)
BB bets, Hero raises …
You decide to raise here on the turn because you know that there are better hands that the opponent can fold here. How often must they fold a stronger hand here in order to make our semi-bluff profitable? How do we know whether a raise is better than a call? How do we assess whether the opponent folds better hands sufficiently often? These and many other questions concerning semi-bluffs will be discussed in the next section.
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