Long term online poker success with winning strategies – register for free!
The best strategies With the correct strategy, poker becomes an easy game. Our authors show you how to succeed, one step at a time.
The smartest thinkers Learn from and with internationally successful poker pros, in our live coaching sessions and in the forum.
Free poker money PokerStrategy.com is free of charge. Additionally there is free poker money waiting for you.
Bubble Strategy (5): Satellites and DONs
Before reading this lesson, you should have read through:
- Bubble Strategy (1): Introduction
- Bubble Strategy (2): Single Table SNGs
- Bubble Strategy (3): Multi-table SNGs Part 1
- Bubble Strategy (4): Multi-table SNGs Part 2
All this, however, has little use in satellite and double-or-nothing (DON) SNGs. The reason for this is quite simple – in the tournaments mentioned above it does not matter how many chips you end up with; since all top prizes are equal, the only goal is to survive the bubble, and that in turn changes the dynamics. To be more precise, one could say that it is the same kind of dynamics made extreme. What is crucial though is the fact that it should change the way you think about your strategy, and this is exactly what you are about to learn in this lesson.
Bubble Phase in a Satellite/DON SNGThe contents of this article can be applied to:
• any satellite SNG (or scheduled tournament) with more than one seat/package/ticket awarded,
• any double-or-nothing (and triple-or-nothing, etc.) SNG.
It should not be applied to satellites with a single top prize, because in these formats the bubble reduces to a heads-up match which is beyond the scope of this article. Also, it should not be applied to Fifty-Fifty and similar structures, which are a mixture of satellite and winner-takes-all.
The value of your stack equals your chance of making the moneyThe stack size is a variable that is in plain view, but in fact this is not a good predictor of an opponent's chances of cashing in satellites. What really is important is the $EV value of your stack, and this reduces simply to the probability of cashing. In effect, the stack sizes should never drive your decisions directly. Rather, you should think about stack setups in terms of the % chance of each player making the money.
Later on, you will learn how to use this approach to make informed decisions on a satellite bubble. For the moment, take a look at how stack sizes might translate to % chances of cashing.
Click for more information.